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The Bitcoin 
$103,171 market has recently experienced significant turbulence, resulting in a loss of over $10 billion in open positions. Experts believe that following this sharp decline, the market is restructuring itself, preparing for a potential new surge in the leading cryptocurrency‘s value.
Open Positions Worth $10 Billion Eliminated
In January 2024, the open position volume in the Bitcoin market reached an all-time high of $33 billion. However, uncertainty stemming from actions by President Donald Trump led to significant volatility, culminating in widespread liquidations.
Between February 20 and March 4, $10 billion in Bitcoin futures open positions were wiped out. This substantial decline reduced the 90-day open position change by 14%. Such drastic drops are believed to cleanse the market of excessive speculation, providing a solid foundation for future rallies.
Bitcoin Price Expected to Reach New Heights
The long-term outlook for Bitcoin appears positive. Economist Timothy Peterson notes that Bitcoin typically experiences significant seasonal rallies in April and October. His recent analysis suggests that the cryptocurrency could reach an all-time high of $126,000 by June.
Additionally, the “Lowest Price Forward” model indicates that Bitcoin’s price floor is at $69,000, with a 95% probability of being maintained. Historical data show that Bitcoin has rebounded strongly after declines of around 30%.
However, not all analysts share this optimism. Benjamin Cowen, founder of Into The Cryptoverse, cautioned in a YouTube video that if Bitcoin falls below the $70,000 – $73,000 range, the bullish cycle may be at risk. He drew parallels to the 2017 cycle, stating the likelihood of entering a bear market increases if Bitcoin drops to around $60,000.
Currently, Bitcoin is in a critical consolidation phase, fluctuating between $82,000 and $83,000. Considering past market movements, this period may pave the way for a new bull run.
What is Bitcoin?
Bitcoin is the first decentralized cryptocurrency created in 2009 by a developer or group using the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto. It enables value transfer without intermediaries through blockchain technology. Due to its limited supply, it is also referred to as digital gold.
