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The cryptocurrency market faces significant instability, triggered by Bitcoin’s (BTC) price dropping below $53,500 in early trading hours. This drop is partly attributed to large transfers from the Mt. Gox cold wallet and an address held by the German government, both holding significant amounts of Bitcoin (40,000 BTC and 47,000 BTC, respectively). These large transfers caused panic among investors, expecting a wave of selling pressure that could further disrupt the market, leading to double-digit declines in altcoins.
Ethereum’s Price at a Critical Threshold
Amid this turmoil, the largest altcoin Ethereum (ETH) has reached a crucial support zone seen as the last defense before a significant price drop. Despite the market chaos, experts argue that Ethereum’s price remains within an upward range.
Open Interest (OI), which measures the total number of open positions in a futures contract, indicates that although the drop brought the price close to $2,800, no significant decline has occurred yet. However, the increasing bearish trend suggests that a more serious drop could be on the table, potentially leading to much larger losses.
Even if Ethereum’s OI consolidates, the persistent bearish outlook threatens to push the price below $2,700. If this scenario occurs, it could cause the OI to drop below 2 million coins, triggering mass liquidations as derivative contracts are closed. The recent closure of $3.5 billion positions opened in anticipation of a Spot Ethereum ETF approval has led to a significant drop in OI. This sets the stage for further declines if ETH fails to find support at the critical $2,800 level.
Potential Bearish and Bullish Scenarios for ETH
Currently, ETH is struggling to reclaim the crucial support zone between $2,868 and $2,902. A daily close within or above this range could potentially trigger a recovery, preventing a significant drop.
Conversely, continued fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) in the market could push the price of the largest cryptocurrency Bitcoin to a critical support level at $52,000, leading to ETH dropping below $2,700. This scenario could further deteriorate the already fragile market conditions.
