Bitcoin’s (BTC) price closed above the 200-day Moving Average for the first time in September, reaching a peak of approximately $64,755. However, by Wednesday afternoon London time, it fell below $64,000. BTC currently sits at this critical support/resistance level near $64,000, which will determine its price movements in the coming weeks.
Price Expectations
If BTC manages to stay above $64,000 in the upcoming weeks, a rising trend towards new record levels may develop in the fourth quarter. Conversely, if the price fails to surpass the $64,000 resistance level, there is a possibility of a new low on the weekly timeframe.
Whale Investor Movements
Despite Bitcoin’s declining trend after reaching an all-time high of around $73,800 six months ago, optimism for Bitcoin $95,996 is increasing in the short term. Historically, nearly every fourth quarter tends to exhibit bullish market trends.
On-chain data analysis indicates that in the last 24 hours, three whale investors withdrew approximately $300 million worth of Bitcoin from the Binance exchange, with over 97,000 BTC withdrawn from centralized exchanges in the last 30 days. This suggests a decrease in Bitcoin supply on centralized exchanges.
Market Outlook
Amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and conflicts between Russia and NATO, a global economic shift continues to accelerate. Gold prices surged to a record high of about $2,655 per ounce, indicating a growing need for protection against inflation and global uncertainties.
Simultaneously, major global economies, including the U.S., European Union, Canada, and China, have started lowering interest rates to stimulate growth in the near term.
Increasing demand for Bitcoin, led by nation-states such as El Salvador and Bhutan, will continue to influence the long-term accumulation plans of more institutional investors like MicroStrategy.
In summary, Bitcoin’s current price movements and rising whale investments present uncertainties and opportunities for the upcoming period. While investors monitor the sustainability above the $64,000 level, they should consider the interaction of market dynamics with broader economic and geopolitical developments.