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Bitcoin (BTC) made a strong start to the fourth quarter of 2023, with a significant increase in value during October, also known as Uptober. In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has seen a 4.56% increase, trading above $28,000. According to technical analysis, this indicates that Bitcoin’s price may rise up to $31,000. Investors should be prepared for a potential 10% price increase from current levels.
Current Outlook of Bitcoin’s Price
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $28,348 with a market capitalization of $552 billion, making it the largest cryptocurrency. With this breakthrough, Bitcoin has surpassed its 200-day moving average, a bullish sign.
If buyers can effectively surpass the 200-day and 100-day moving averages at $28,000, further price increases can be expected. The next challenging resistance level for investors is at $30,000, and some market analysts believe it may not be wise to chase the green candle formation at this point.
Bitcoin’s On-Chain Indicators Display Strength
The price of Bitcoin in the 12-18 month UTXO (Unspent Transaction Output) indicates breakeven at $27,950, suggesting that investors who bought Bitcoin during this period are in line with the average purchase price. On the other hand, the price in the 6-12 month UTXO is lower than the current market price, indicating profitability for this particular group.
The UTXO age band data for inflows to cryptocurrency exchanges provides valuable insights into investor sentiment. Despite prolonged periods of unrealized losses, the 12-18 month UTXO group demonstrates strength by holding onto their BTC instead of rushing to sell. This indicates a high level of confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term potential. Conversely, the 6-12 month UTXO group, currently enjoying profits, is actively selling on cryptocurrency exchanges.
The divergent behaviors of these two investor groups highlight differing levels of confidence in Bitcoin’s future trajectory. Investors holding BTC for 12-18 months seem to have a strong belief in Bitcoin’s long-term potential, as they choose not to sell even after reaching breakeven. The minimum BTC inflow from the 12-18 month UTXO group suggests a decrease in selling pressure and indicates that their realized prices may not form a significant resistance level for Bitcoin’s price.
