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Cardano (ADA) has recently garnered significant interest due to promising price movements towards new highs. However, a short-term decline in trading activity has cast a shadow over these optimistic forecasts, leading to a significant price drop. The popular altcoin now faces the risk of falling below the $0.40 threshold, dampening investor hopes.
Could Rise Up to $2
Despite the recent price drop of ADA, crypto analyst Ali Martinez believes now might be the best time to invest in this altcoin. This optimism is based on the analysis of a critical metric known as the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio. For those unfamiliar, the MVRV Ratio is calculated by dividing the asset’s market value by the total last transaction price value of each coin/token.
Martinez pointed out in his analysis on April 19 that Cardano’s MVRV Ratio had dropped below 22% for the first time since June 2023. Historical data shows that the last time such a drop occurred, ADA experienced a notable 75% increase within about a month. If a similar scenario unfolds, ADA could rise to approximately $0.80, a peak not seen since early 2022, and potentially surpass the all-time high of $2 with increased momentum.
This optimistic forecast is further supported by ADA’s significant oversold condition in the market. Additionally, the altcoin is currently poised to surpass its third resistance level at $0.489874, having already exceeded the first resistance level at $0.466449.
Cardano’s Turbulent Journey
Examining Cardano’s price chart reveals a turbulent journey since the beginning of the year. Despite its impressive performance at the start of the year, ADA faced significant challenges, including the approval and trading of nine spot Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US, which positively impacted the market. However, the altcoin showed strength and potential during a major rally in March, signaling a promising trajectory for the future.
Despite developments in its ecosystem, including a rapid increase in the number of smart contracts, Cardano is currently trading down 21.09% since the start of the year. A significant portion of this decline, 23.26%, occurred in the last 30 days. However, ADA has seen a notable rise of 3.56% in the last 24 hours, trading at $0.46808.
