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Coinbase’s performance over the last two years seems to be sufficient to please investors. The cryptocurrency exchange announced its highest quarterly profit in two years last week. Trading volume has been revived by factors such as the Bitcoin rally and expectations of regulators approving spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). However, despite the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) approval of 11 Bitcoin ETFs in January, it is still unclear whether Coinbase will be able to derive long-term benefits from these developments.
Bitcoin ETF Support
The opportunity for investors to engage with spot Bitcoin ETFs without directly owning Bitcoin is attracting the attention of large funds. Approximately $4 billion in net inflows into the funds of leading companies demonstrates the demand for such products. However, acting as a custodian for these funds only constitutes a small portion of Coinbase’s profit. Revenue from custody fees makes up 2.2% of its total revenue, and this percentage is expected to increase.
However, there is also a downside to this situation. Low custody margins result in Coinbase earning a low fee from its services. This becomes apparent when compared to the higher trading commissions of around 0.6%. Moreover, the rise of low-cost spot Bitcoin ETFs could reduce investors’ need to trade real Bitcoin. This could lead to a decrease in Coinbase’s trading volume.
Growth Potential Certainly Exists
Cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase is showing strong signals that it can sustain its growth. However, it is not clear whether this growth is due to other sources such as interest income from stablecoin reserves and other products, or directly from trading. This will be an important factor in determining the company’s revenue balance in the coming period.
At this point, the market value of cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase appears to be quite high, and its stock prices are trading at 14 times last year’s revenue. However, this value is quite high compared to larger and more profitable exchange operators. Therefore, investors need to think carefully before getting caught up in the crypto ETF craze. Coinbase’s long-term performance will be decisive at this point.
