Economist Alex Krüger suggests that Bitcoin $94,467 may currently be in a super cycle, indicating that a local peak could be just months away. He highlights that the fundamentals of Bitcoin are different from previous cycles, largely due to anticipated regulatory changes in the market.
Cryptocurrency and Regulations
Krüger shared his insights with his followers on the social media platform X, emphasizing that the upcoming election of pro-crypto Donald Trump could lead U.S. regulatory bodies to embrace Bitcoin. Trump is set to take office next month and is selecting cabinet members who support cryptocurrency.
Super Cycle and Historical Comparison
Krüger asserts that Bitcoin is undergoing a super cycle, unlike any seen in the past. He notes that the cryptocurrency industry has experienced significant fundamental changes compared to prior periods.
“Stop comparing this cycle to previous ones. The likelihood of Bitcoin being in a super cycle is high. The crypto industry has undergone its most dramatic transformation in history, turning from a state-loathed pariah to one of the most adopted industries by governments.” – Alex Krüger
He mentions that no other asset has experienced a similar market turnaround recently, aside from perhaps gold in the 1970s.
“The change is so extreme that it’s hard to find parallels in modern times, maybe the 1970s gold example. The 1970s were a transformative decade for gold.” – Alex Krüger
Krüger believes Bitcoin could surpass its recent peak price of approximately $103,700 reached on December 5. He expects a significant local peak in March, but clarifies this does not necessarily indicate the beginning of a bear market.
“It makes sense to expect a big local peak in March. However, do not equate a major peak with the start of a bear market.” – Alex Krüger
These developments in the Bitcoin market highlight the potential for increased value due to expected regulatory changes and the super cycle. However, it remains crucial to consider the market’s volatility and economic factors before making any decisions.