The fourth month of the year started off unfavorably and is now nearly over with days filled with declines. BTC is below $64,000. Although Bitcoin might be willing to hit new lows, bulls have kept it relatively buoyant above $60,750 for now, preventing deeper dips. However, a significant breakout is expected next week. What’s targeted for Dogecoin?
Dogecoin (DOGE)
As this article is prepared, DOGE‘s price is at $0.1479. Along with Bitcoin’s weakness, Dogecoin seems unlikely to close April well. Following the announcement of the US GDP on April 25, increased pressure on risk markets fully impacted cryptocurrencies. The US economy grew by 1.6% in the first quarter of 2024, against expectations of 2.5%, and the monthly PCE rose by 0.3%, putting the Fed in a dilemma.
At the beginning of 2024, investors expected the Fed to make six 25bp rate cuts, but now they predict a maximum of two 25bp cuts. The yield on 10-year US Treasury notes has climbed to a five-month high of 4.739%.
Interest in futures for Dogecoin is also waning. The size of open positions dropped to $865.63 million on April 27. About a month ago, it peaked at $2.21 billion, showing how quickly investors are fleeing risk.
DOGE Predictions
The outlook in futures indicates a decline. If Powell does not announce at the May 1 meeting that we are delaying our 2% inflation target for a few years in favor of slower reductions, even at the cost of stickiness (for balanced growth), the bearish outlook will dominate on the macro front.
Dogecoin’s price may continue the selling trend initiated by the declining trend line and the 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA). As long as this area is not overcome as resistance, the possibility of a significant rebound in DOGE’s price is weak. Moreover, as BTC continues to close at lower levels, there is little reason to remain optimistic.
The key level is a close above $0.159, and as of the writing of this article, DOGE’s price is below it. In the coming days, there is a risk of sharp declines towards the $0.12 and $0.10 levels. Conversely, levels of $0.159 and $0.18 could be targeted in the opposite scenario.