The king of cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, is currently finding buyers at $59,800, having dropped to $59,678. This decline was somewhat expected due to ongoing weakness. For now, the downward movement appears as spikes in 15-minute charts, yet bulls struggle to defend the $60,000 mark.
Why Is Bitcoin Falling?
There are numerous reasons. As of March 20, a decline wave began with massive GBTC sales by Genesis through the ETF channel. Although bulls tried to recover, they failed to sustain above $71,700 and struggled to maintain $69,000 as support. Moreover, disappointing inflation data suggests that 2024 might not be a favorable year economically.
Oil prices are rising, the DXY is increasing, inflation is climbing, and gold is going up. Does this mean there’s a war somewhere? Although not yet, the markets cannot ignore the potential for a hot conflict between Iran and Israel. Meanwhile, statements from both sides lack clarity.
Iran launched missiles after the US markets closed. Perhaps Israel will also wait for the stock markets to close on Friday? Although it sounds absurd, that’s the situation; Israel did not even fulfill its promise of an attack within 48 hours, nor did it present a clear stance on the extent of retaliation.
What’s Next for Cryptocurrencies?
In two days, the Bitcoin halving will occur, and we will witness the block rewards being reduced to 3.125 BTC in a terrible environment. While there was talk of the Fed cutting rates in March, market expectations shifted to September following the three-month inflation report. There is not a massive demand in the spot Bitcoin ETF channel, and analysts who say the halving is priced in seem to be right for now.
However, it should not be forgotten that at some point, missiles will cease, inflation will decrease, and Bitcoin will recover from this negative atmosphere similar to what we saw in November 2022. If not a global bankruptcy or war scenario, historical data suggest what might await us.
What should investors do now? In such situations, experienced investors buy at attractive levels without waiting for signs of a turnaround (as they did during the November 2022 crash). Although prices are still much higher compared to November 2022, it’s impossible to predict the future, but investors should not overlook the potential rises following such downturns.
