Hedge fund manager Hugh Hendry plans to invest in Bitcoin (BTC) $84,686 and low-interest rates next year. Hendry noted that his short volatility investment strategy, aimed at reducing volatility, always involves two significant risks.
Investment Strategy
Hendry explained his option selling strategy, designed to profit from reduced market volatility, forming the foundation of his approach. His strategy includes a long position in Bitcoin and options triggered if the Federal Funds rate drops below 2%.
Comparison of Mag-7 and QQQ
Hendry compared the market capitalization of Bitcoin with that of large tech stocks known as “Mag-7.” The Mag-7 includes companies like Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, NVIDIA, and Tesla. He also pointed out Bitcoin’s comparison with Invesco QQQ.
“BTC is the ghost of everyone, good or bad. In reality, the CATE EFFECT makes this conversation trivial but is quite attractive for upside potential.”
Hendry emphasized that Bitcoin’s market value stands at only $1 trillion, while QQQ’s is $42 trillion. He highlighted that the Mag-7, with a market capitalization of $13 trillion, comprises the only noteworthy elements in this context.
“The stock collateral of banks makes this valuation’s soundness extremely significant. If this unravels, the credit market collapses, and margin calls become enormous.”
Hendry added that banks need to pay attention to the cash convertibility of collateral. He noted they are trying to reduce their assets as market conditions allow.
Recently, Hendry observed that stocks capitalized at such levels periodically lose value, suggesting a possibility of similar occurrences in the future. The volatility of markets and the performance of large tech stocks play a crucial role in determining investment strategies, making it beneficial for traders to closely monitor market trends and economic indicators.