The upcoming statements of Jerome Powell, the President of the Federal Reserve, during his testimony before the Senate and House of Representatives on February 11-12, may trigger volatility in the Bitcoin $87,261 market. Powell’s commitment to fighting inflation and signals regarding interest rate policies could lead to fluctuations in cryptocurrency prices. While short-term reactions are inevitable, experts suggest that Bitcoin reaching the $100,000 level currently appears unlikely.
Key Messages on Powell’s Interest Rate Policy
Powell’s statements will focus on the general state of the economy, employment data, and price stability. He will emphasize the need for more data before shifting to a looser monetary policy aimed at combating inflation.
According to Bloomberg economists, Powell is unlikely to alter interest rate policies unless there is observable economic progress or significant weakness in the labor market. This situation implies short-term uncertainty for market participants. Tim Duy from SGH Macro Advisors predicts that any interest rate cuts could be postponed until the second half of 2025, particularly complicating market expectations due to weak employment data.
In this uncertain environment, the market’s price movements are noted to be sensitive. The risk of liquidating around $80 million in short positions may occur if Bitcoin surpasses certain threshold levels, potentially leading to abrupt price spikes in the cryptocurrency market.
What Do Bitcoin Price Fluctuations Indicate?
Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $97,000, a level supported by high trading volumes and a crucial threshold for short-term price movements. If core consumer price index data surpass expectations, the risk of Powell changing interest rate policies may increase, leading to potential breakouts in Bitcoin’s price.
Market observers believe that Powell’s statements and economic data could significantly impact Bitcoin’s price. Investors should closely monitor these data points and adjust their strategies accordingly. While short-term positions could lead to substantial market movements, long-term data will still dictate the primary trajectory.
During this period, investors are advised to remain cautious and closely follow market dynamics. Powell’s messages may instigate notable movements in the cryptocurrency market in the coming days.