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Bitcoin‘s (BTC) current consolidation phase around the $66,500 level, alongside significant on-chain developments, indicates notable changes in investor dynamics in the cryptocurrency market, particularly within the Bitcoin market. Recent on-chain data points to a significant revival in activity among Bitcoin whales and a trend of long-held BTCs changing hands.
BTCs Changing Hands
CryptoQuant’s CEO Ki Young Ju recently reported a significant milestone in Bitcoin’s average dormancy duration, which has reached its highest level in the last 13 years. This increase in the metric implies a substantial transfer of long-held BTCs to new investors, sparking speculation about the identities and intentions of these major stakeholders in the Bitcoin market.
Moreover, earlier this year, the US greenlit multiple spot Bitcoin ETFs for trading, which highlighted significant entries driven by strong customer demand. These ETFs are actively accumulating BTC, leading to changes in investor patterns in the cryptocurrency market.
Alongside high ETF activity, there is a noticeable increase in accumulation tendencies among Bitcoin whales, particularly among organizations holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTCs. Data from the on-chain analysis platform Santiment indicates a strong trend in this direction, revealing significant accumulations by market participants since the beginning of the year.
Experienced Analyst Issues Warning
Despite the increasing accumulation trend, seasoned cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez has highlighted a potential warning signal in Bitcoin’s price movement. Martinez notes that the TD Sequential indicator is showing a sell signal in the 12-hour timeframe and that Bitcoin is facing significant resistance within a parallel trading channel. He advises investors to be cautious, especially if BTC’s price falls below the critical support level of $65,500.
Despite Martinez’s warning and short-term price movements, broader macroeconomic factors continue to support Bitcoin’s long-term outlook. In particular, the major cryptocurrency’s monetary inflation rate has recently aligned with the stock-to-flow thesis of gold.
Bitcoin analyst Willy Woo suggests that while Bitcoin’s stock-to-flow valuation might be delayed by a few years, ongoing developments in storage infrastructure, regulations, and institutional acceptance indicate a promising trajectory for the largest cryptocurrency to potentially exceed gold’s market value in the future.
