Bitcoin (BTC) 
$97,157 and other leading cryptocurrencies have faced declines over the last three days, influenced by risk-averse behavior following the FOMC meeting. In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has lost 4.2% of its value, while Dogecoin 
$0.307262 experienced the most significant drop at 11%. Weekly losses for some altcoins have exceeded 20%, prompting caution among market participants.
Factors Behind Market Optimism and Sharp Sell-offs
The CoinDesk 20 index reported a 5.5% decline. In the futures market, over $890 million was liquidated in the last 24 hours, illustrating the destructive impact of excessive optimism in the markets.
QCP Capital, based in Singapore, noted that the recent sharp declines are rooted in excessively bullish positioning. Their traders stated, “The primary reason for the morning’s market collapse is the overly optimistic attitude of investors.”
Seasonal Trends and Bitcoin’s Potential
Historically, Bitcoin tends to perform positively in December. Over the past eight years, Bitcoin has recorded six green closures, gaining between 8% and 46%. However, current market conditions challenge optimistic forecasts for seasonal fluctuations.
Experts indicate that seasonal trends in the markets could be influenced by tax periods and holiday season demands. Nonetheless, the prevailing risk-averse behavior and contraction in market liquidity are putting this trend under pressure.
In conclusion, the declines in Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency markets stem from negative signals from the FOMC meeting and a prevailing atmosphere of excessive optimism. In this environment, caution is advised for market participants facing fluctuations.
