Carolina, a well-followed cryptocurrency enthusiast on social media, has identified a recurring pattern on the XRP daily chart that previously triggered a significant price increase earlier in the year. This pattern, known as the AMD cycle—Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution—appears to be unfolding once again, based on her technical analysis.
The AMD Cycle on XRP’s Chart
The initial AMD cycle began in late June, featuring an extended accumulation period when XRP remained above $1. A sudden manipulation phase emerged, briefly pushing the price down to approximately $0.98, before a sharp recovery during the distribution phase sent the coin to a peak of $1.68. Carolina’s current analysis suggests that a second AMD cycle is developing on the chart, mirroring the earlier sequence.
Mini dictionary: AMD cycle, a technical analysis framework describing three phases in asset prices—accumulation (when investors quietly build positions), manipulation (where the price is moved lower, often to cause weak hands to sell), and distribution (when holders sell into upward momentum, often leading to a price surge).
Carolina’s chart shows one AMD cycle completed and a second currently underway. The pattern’s repetition has caught the attention of many traders tracking XRP’s performance in recent months.
Analysis describes the earlier AMD sequence: accumulation above $1, manipulation down to $0.98, and a distribution run that drove XRP up to $1.68 within a few months. Chart patterns suggest this powerful structure may be repeating.
The Manipulation Phase is Now Active
Carolina states that XRP has entered the manipulation phase, which she describes as “happening RIGHT NOW.” The asset is currently trading at $1.3049. After previously climbing close to $1.70 in the first distribution, XRP pulled back and entered a zone of consolidation near $1.30. This price action, according to Carolina, signals the manipulation stage within the AMD cycle.
In this phase, prices tend to dip lower, applying downward pressure that causes many retail traders to exit their positions. Such conditions, she claims, are necessary to set up the larger distribution rally that often follows.
According to the chart, this period may offer an opportunity for strategic investors, similar to the earlier dip that preceded XRP’s substantial move higher in the first AMD cycle.
Distribution Phase: Potential Upside for XRP
The next expected step is the distribution phase. According to Carolina’s projection, this stage would follow current price activity and could push XRP from levels near $1.30 to a target above $2.30, if the previous cycle serves as a guide. The prior distribution phase saw XRP climb from $0.95 to $1.68, marking one of the strongest rallies for the asset so far this year.
Carolina’s analysis depends on observing structural repetition between the current and previous AMD cycles. The chart highlights a green box to the right, indicating the projected area for upward movement in the anticipated distribution phase. Technical traders are monitoring these signals to determine whether XRP will repeat its earlier breakout performance.
| AMD Cycle Phase | First Cycle Price Range | Second Cycle Price Range (Projected) |
|---|---|---|
| Accumulation | $1.00+ | $1.30 (consolidation) |
| Manipulation | down to $0.98 | current dip near $1.30 |
| Distribution | up to $1.68 | projected to $2.30+ |
Carolina maintains that if the AMD cycle continues to repeat, XRP could experience another round of significant upside. However, she reminds traders that market conditions remain volatile and outcomes can differ from historical patterns.
