Crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO has released a weekly chart analysis on XRP, identifying what he describes as a recurring four-stage macro structure. This pattern has appeared twice before since 2018, with each occurrence leading to substantial price rallies in the XRP market. At the time of the report, XRP is trading at $1.39 and sits close to a significant support level as the current cycle appears to be nearing its final stage.
The four-stage macro structure
EGRAG CRYPTO’s chart begins with XRP’s price movements from 2018 onward. The analyst maps out three major macro cycles, each consisting of four sequential stages. The 2018 to 2020 cycle fully played out all four stages ahead of a sharp rally, and the 2021 to 2024 period followed the same pattern, with a breakout after stage four.
The current cycle, which he states began in early 2025 following a breakout late in 2024, has now completed three stages, with the fourth stage potentially unfolding. EGRAG CRYPTO describes this as a possible setup for another major price expansion.
The latest cycle has reached what could be its decisive fourth stage, but a breakout confirmation has not yet arrived. The chart indicates that a breakout historically follows this point, mirroring previous multi-year cycles.
EGRAG CRYPTO is a market commentator known for technical analysis of XRP price cycles. His approach often focuses on macro chart structures to predict significant turning points.
Mini dictionary: Macro structure, in trading, refers to a large-scale chart pattern that spans over several months or years, serving to identify the broad phases in an asset’s price movement. These cycles often help analysts anticipate possible breakout or correction points.
Support and resistance levels under scrutiny
Within the analysis, EGRAG CRYPTO identifies $1.24 as a critical support level for XRP, with a secondary support at $1.06. Resistance overhead is found at $1.67, which he labels as the breakout threshold. The analyst suggests that a weekly close above this mark would support a bullish case for further gains.
With XRP now priced between these support and resistance marks, EGRAG CRYPTO describes the broader price outlook as bullish, while noting that the short-term price pattern remains in a corrective phase.
| XRP Key Levels | Price ($) | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Support 1 | 1.24 | Primary support |
| Support 2 | 1.06 | Deeper support |
| Current Price | 1.39 | Current trading level |
| Resistance | 1.67 | Breakout resistance |
Potential targets based on Fibonacci analysis
To estimate the possible scale of a future rally, EGRAG CRYPTO applies Fibonacci extension levels to the latest macro structure. He identifies $3.57, $9.36, and $15.47 as potential Fibonacci targets, corresponding to the 1.272, 1.414, and 1.618 extension levels. According to his analysis, a further extension could reach $31.86. However, he stresses these targets as possibilities rather than certainties.
Patience and confirmation required
In summarizing his analysis, EGRAG CRYPTO emphasizes the need for patience, noting that confirmation of the pattern’s completion would require a decisive weekly breakout above resistance. He suggests that only then would the setup point to a potential major upside move for XRP.
While historical patterns offer clues, the analyst maintains that “patience is where the big money is made,” as any confirmation must come from the market itself.
The outcome depends on whether price movement above $1.67 can hold, repeating the historical structure seen over the past two cycles. Traders are monitoring these technical levels and macro patterns for signs of a confirmed breakout.
