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Bitcoin (BTC) 
$79,784 surpassed the level of $73,835 in November, signaling a potential new bullish phase. However, in recent weeks, the price has fallen by over 15%, approaching this critical level again. The common technical analysis pattern of “breakout and retest” indicates that Bitcoin might be gathering strength at this level, poised for a new rally.
Is Bitcoin Technically Returning to Support Levels?
In the financial markets, once significant resistance levels are breached, prices often retest these levels. Bitcoin may be inclined to retest the $73,835 level it broke in November 2024.
This movement can be explained by the desire of market participants to protect their profits. Investors typically exhibit a risk-averse tendency, leading them to take profits after an asset surpasses a certain level. Consequently, the price drops, allowing new buyers to step in and potentially trigger a larger upward movement.
Can Prices Move Up Again?
The $73,835 level may serve as a critical support point. If market participants begin buying at this level, it could trigger a new upward movement. However, without such a recovery, the price may experience a deeper decline.
Similar movements have been observed in traditional markets. For instance, Japan’s 10-year government bond yield created a double bottom formation in January 2024, retested, and then rose. Similarly, the AUD/USD pair fell below a critical support level in December 2023, retested it, but ultimately faced a sharper decline.
Currently, the critical threshold for Bitcoin stands at the $73,835 level. Sustaining above this point could propel the price back to the $100,000 mark and beyond. However, a break below this support raises the risk of a return to a bears market.
