Last year, the analyst Rekt Capital, who predicted Bitcoin’s pre-halving correction, updated the timeframe for BTC’s peak in the current cycle. The analyst indicated that the duration for Bitcoin $88,959 to reach its peak could vary based on historical cycle data. This timeframe was stated to range between 250 to 329 days.
Historical Data and Timeframes
Rekt Capital observed that in previous cycles, it took between 250 and 329 days for Bitcoin to reach new highs after breaking its all-time records. Based on this data, if history repeats itself, a market peak could potentially occur around mid-July with a 250-day process.
Rekt Capital: “If history repeats and a new peak is reached within 250 days after breaking all-time records, a mid-July peak could be observed. However, if it takes 329 days, the peak might be seen by the end of September.”
The Impact of Halving and Market Continuity
The analyst also pointed out that the Bitcoin halving event influences this process. The halving, which will occur in April 2024, is expected to alter market dynamics as miner rewards will be cut in half. According to data, a 550-day period post-halving may support peak formation around September or October 2025.
Rekt Capital: “The 550-day period aligns with previous cycles, indicating a post-halving peak in September or October 2025.”
Currently, Bitcoin’s trading price is recorded at $102,439, reflecting a decrease of approximately 2.7% in the last 24 hours. This volatility highlights fluctuations in the markets.
The timeframes emphasized in the analyst’s statements allow market participants to interpret data based on historical trends. Due to variable market dynamics, forecasts encompass different scenarios.
The analysis is based on predictions drawn from past cycles, underscoring the importance of investors conducting their own research. Variations observed in the market suggest that future peak points may differ significantly.