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The largest altcoin, Ethereum (ETH) 
$1,879, is currently undergoing a different process compared to previous market cycles. While Bitcoin (BTC) 
$84,508 continues to set new records, Ethereum has yet to achieve the same feat. However, certain on-chain indicators suggest that ETH still possesses significant bullish potential. The MVRV Price Bands and Mayer Multiple models indicate that prices remain undervalued, and the strongest bullish phase has not yet commenced.
What Do MVRV Price Bands Indicate for Ethereum?
Market Value/Realized Value (MVRV) is an indicator that helps determine whether an asset is overvalued or undervalued. This indicator works by comparing market value to realized value. Periods when MVRV drops below 0.8 (blue) indicate that prices are significantly low, while periods exceeding 2.4 (red) suggest overvaluation.
Ethereum broke this level twice during the 2017-2018 cycle but only managed to reach the red zone once in 2021. In the current cycle, ETH has yet to surpass this level. However, similarities exist between the consolidation processes of previous cycles and the current movement. If the price does not drop below 0.8 again, the likelihood of a similar bullish surge remains.
Mayer Multiple Model Indicates Upward Potential for ETH
The Mayer Multiple model determines trading levels for Ethereum based on its 200-day moving average. This model analyzes the relationship between the price and specific multiples of the 200-day moving average (MA). Historically, the price peaks when it reaches 2.4 times the MA, while it hits the bottom when it falls below 0.8.
In all previous market cycles, ETH exceeded the 2.4 level. However, in the current cycle, it has yet to break this threshold. Notably, significant similarities exist between the price movements of 2019-2020 and the current process. Ethereum dropped below 0.8, then rose above this level and surpassed the 200-day moving average, only to dip below 0.8 again but at a higher low. Following this model, ETH needs a strong upward movement to commence a new bull run.
For ETH to continue its upward trajectory, gaining upward momentum is critical. Otherwise, if it falls below the 0.8 level again, the model may become invalid. The Mayer Multiple Model indicates that ETH is still significantly undervalued. With a structure reminiscent of 2020 levels, the largest altcoin may be on the brink of a major surge. However, some on-chain indicators suggest that the current cycle may be ending, making it challenging to provide a definitive outlook on Ethereum’s future, although certain models signal strong bullish potential.
