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As the summary judgment in the case between Ripple and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approaches, attention is turning towards the potential outcome. While experts predict either a Ripple or SEC victory, the outcome remains uncertain as some suggest a settlement could be reached.
AI Predicts Case Outcome
However, part of the crypto community maintains optimism about a Ripple victory, citing the company’s previous successes during the hearings. To gain more insight, the opinion of Google’s productive artificial intelligence (AI) platform Bard was sought, posing the question, “Will Ripple come out victorious in the SEC lawsuit?”
Initially, the tool acknowledged the difficulty in predicting Ripple’s potential victory, despite its successes during the hearings. However, Bard recognized the strength of Ripple’s arguments so far and conceded that a positive outcome would be significant for the crypto community.
Stating definitively whether Ripple will win the SEC case is challenging. Nevertheless, Ripple has put forth strong arguments and has so far won several important victories. If the judge rules in Ripple’s favor, it could be a significant victory for the cryptocurrency industry.
Bard also highlighted three key factors that could affect a potential Ripple victory. These include the interpretation of the Howey Test by the judge, which determines whether an investment qualifies as a security, the evaluation of Ripple’s argument that XRP is not a security, and the judge’s response to how the SEC has handled the case, especially regarding evidence obtained after Hinman’s speech.
Probable Factors for Ripple’s Victory
Bard pinpointed significant factors that could secure a Ripple victory in the ongoing case. One of the key arguments put forth by Ripple is that XRP should not be considered a security under the Howey Test, as it doesn’t meet the criteria of an investment contract. This test requires investing money in a common enterprise with the expectation of profits from the efforts of others. Ripple claims that XRP doesn’t meet these conditions.
Ripple also alleges that the SEC’s case aims to stifle innovation in the cryptocurrency industry. They argue that applying old securities laws to a new technological environment could hinder progress and innovation in the crypto space.
The tool added that the company’s victory could be tied to the significant successes it has achieved so far in the case. The tool referred to examples such as the unsealing of the Hinman speech. In the speech, Hinman stated that cryptocurrencies like Ethereum (ETH) should not be classified as securities. The judge also decided that the SEC could not use evidence from an internal SEC note written after Hinman’s speech.
Can the SEC Prevail?
Bard also emphasized the possibility of Ripple encountering an unfavorable verdict in the lawsuit, when specific factors are taken into account. He particularly pointed out that the SEC has over 80 years of broad experience and significant resources in regulating securities.
The SEC submitted a petition requesting Ripple’s document production and is determined to pursue the case to its conclusion. Bard indicated that the SEC has presented a strong case, arguing that XRP is classified as a security because it’s an investment contract. Furthermore, the SEC claims that Ripple’s actions violate securities laws and emphasizes its readiness to proceed with the lawsuit.
To summarize, the SEC has accused Ripple, by initiating a lawsuit, of selling unregistered securities in the form of XRP tokens and violating regulatory laws. In light of this, Bard conceded that the outcome of the case depends on the judge overseeing the trial. While the date of the summary judgment is still unknown, a critical moment is expected on June 13, when the seals of the documents related to Hinman will be opened.
Prior to this event, XRP responded positively, experiencing notable price increases in recent days. Within a week, the token saw a significant capital influx, with its market value exceeding $2.5 billion, and it’s currently trading at $0.53.
