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The new regulation proposed by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has caused a significant stir in the cryptocurrency world, specifically targeting political prediction markets. This regulation aims to ban prediction markets and halt the trading of such contracts. The proposal could jeopardize the future of rapidly growing prediction markets like Polymarket in America.
Political Pressures and Regulation Debates Lead to Talks of Bans
Especially Democrats like Elizabeth Warren want this regulation completed quickly. They argue that betting on events like political elections, award contests, or sports competitions should be banned. This group, already finding the political system lacking transparency, claims that betting on election outcomes is a dangerous endeavor.
On the other hand, the issue has also surfaced in the cryptocurrency sector. This proposal has met with significant opposition in the crypto and fintech world. Companies like Gemini, Crypto.com, and Robinhood argue that this regulation is unnecessary and dangerous. Cameron Winklevoss, co-founder of the cryptocurrency exchange Gemini, stated that the CFTC should withdraw this proposal and return to the table with industry stakeholders.
Legal Debates Continue After Allegations of CFTC Overreach
Criticisms that the CFTC should not exceed its authority have also resonated in the legal world. Legal advisors from Dragonfly Capital noted that the CFTC would have to defend its authority to regulate such contracts following the Supreme Court’s removal of the Chevron doctrine.
It is stated that the CFTC is neither a gambling nor an election regulator, and therefore does not have the authority to intervene in these markets. Prediction markets are particularly popular in the U.S. because they have an ongoing process. This situation has led to nearly $600 million circulating in these markets, especially between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris.
Given the high figures, it is quite natural for the cryptocurrency sector to react in this way. The opposition is also related to the CFTC’s approach. Elizabeth Warren’s hostility towards the cryptocurrency world is already well-known. Will policymakers’ demands for bans be accepted in the coming days, or will the cryptocurrency sector’s stance prevail in prediction markets? We will wait and see.
