The beginning of September did not bring favorable news for the cryptocurrency market; however, emerging data throughout the month is laying the groundwork for a rebound. Investor caution has been reflected in declining volumes, but what do the expectations for cryptocurrencies look like as September draws to a close?
September Predictions for Cryptocurrencies
In recent assessments, the Producer Price Index (PPI) data was deemed crucial, with upcoming ETF figures holding significant importance. As anticipated, Bitcoin 
$72,950 ETFs experienced record daily net inflows surpassing $400 million for the first time in September. A significant inflow of $741.5 million was noted yesterday, primarily into BlackRock’s and Fidelity’s ETFs.
On the Ethereum 
$2,246 front, inflows have normalized. Although ETF outflows were common throughout the month, yesterday witnessed a $171.5 million net inflow. The data expected on September 11 is anticipated to be stronger due to today’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data aligning with expectations, alleviating tariff-related concerns.
As the Federal Reserve meeting approaches, it would not be surprising to see Bitcoin testing the $116,000 and $118,000 levels. If the Fed refrains from making open-ended comments about inflation and focuses on the risks posed by weak employment, September’s historical downward trend might become an exception this year.
Inflation in the United States
Inflation increased by 2.9% in the 12-month period up to August, up from 2.7% in July. Consequently, the Fed’s soft landing scenario with steady inflation decline has been shelved. Despite witnessing the highest annual inflation rate since the start of 2025, markets welcomed recent figures due to pricing based on previously feared worst-case tariff scenarios.
Today’s overlooked data involves initial unemployment claims, the highest since October 2021. Coupled with last week’s employment figures and this week’s nearly 1 million BLS revision, it indicates a rising alarm in the labor force.
Major US retailers like Walmart, Target, and Best Buy have already factored in tariff hikes into prices and will continue to do so. Nonetheless, initial measurements indicate these actions have not yielded significant effects on overall inflation. Additionally, some Fed members reiterated that tariff impacts on inflation are expected to be one-off occurrences.
