In the lead-up to the Christmas holiday, spot Bitcoin 
$90,533 and Ethereum 
$3,106 ETFs in the United States experienced notable net outflows on Tuesday. According to SoSoValue data, spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net outflow of $188.6 million, continuing a streak of negative flows for the fourth consecutive day. On the same day, spot Ethereum ETFs saw a net outflow of $95.5 million. Bitcoin’s price dropped by 0.7% in the last 24 hours to $86,931, while Ethereum experienced a 1.18% decrease, trading at $2,931. Market analysts emphasize that these outflows are more related to calendar effects rather than a shift in investor sentiment.
Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs Spotlight Year-End Exits
The largest source of Tuesday’s $188.6 million net outflow from spot Bitcoin ETFs was BlackRock’s IBIT fund, which saw a withdrawal of $157.3 million. Fidelity’s FBTC, Grayscale’s GBTC, and Bitwise’s BITB also registered outflows on the same day. In total, spot Bitcoin ETFs witnessed a weekly net outflow of $497.1 million, reversing the net inflow of $286.6 million observed in the week ending December 12.
Spot Ethereum ETFs also endured a net outflow of $95.5 million on Tuesday, marking a noticeable directional shift from the previous day’s net inflow of $84.6 million. Grayscale’s ETHE fund led the outflows, recording the largest single-day exit in Ethereum ETFs with $50.9 million withdrawn.
Vincent Liu, CIO of Kronos Research, indicated that the outflows from BTC and ETH ETFs are associated with year-end mechanisms rather than a break in investor confidence. He highlighted factors such as low liquidity, portfolio balancing, and profit-taking. Similarly, Nick Ruck, director at LVRG Research, noted seasonal profit-taking, tax loss harvesting, and decreased liquidity during the holiday season prompted investors to reduce risk ahead of the Christmas holiday.
Stocks Rally as Holiday Schedule Shifts Focus to Post-Holiday Data
Despite the outflows from cryptocurrency ETFs and falling prices, the U.S. stock market saw a broad-based upswing on Tuesday. The S&P 500 closed at a record high of 6,909.79 with a 0.46% increase, while the Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones rose by 0.57% and 0.16%, respectively. On the macroeconomic front, the U.S. Department of Commerce reported an annualized GDP growth of 4.3% in the third quarter, up from 3.8% in the second quarter.
The holiday calendar provides a crucial backdrop influencing pricing and fund flows. U.S. markets are scheduled for early closure today, closed entirely on December 25 for the holiday, and will reopen on December 26. Rick Maeda, a research partner at Presto Research, advised not to exaggerate the heavyweight outflows from BTC and ETH ETFs as the holiday period approaches. He noted that fund flows have been volatile in recent months, and after a volatile fourth quarter, balance sheet adjustments and risk reduction are usual practices.
Maeda further highlighted that during the four trading days before the Christmas holiday in 2024, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw over $1.5 billion in net outflows, indicating Bitcoin’s retracement from fresh peaks. The current downturn is notably more restricted compared to that period. Liu proposes to watch post-holiday signals with liquidity returning, flows guided by price trends, and the key U.S. weekly jobless claims data set for release on December 27.
