A social media post that recently went viral is drawing renewed attention to an anonymous price prediction, which some claim accurately forecasted numerous Bitcoin levels between 2019 and 2024. The visual, making the rounds again online, shows a final target of $145,000 for Bitcoin in October 2026. Despite its popularity, significant questions remain about the origins and reliability of both the data and the image itself.
Verification issues cloud the source
The image in question, shared by the crypto account Corleone, is presented as a screenshot from what appears to be a December 20, 2018 post on a forum resembling 4chan. In the post, a mysterious group claims to control nearly 90% of all Bitcoin supply, setting out a timeline of bold price targets spanning from October 2019 up to October 2026.
At first glance, these predictions seem uncannily accurate. Bitcoin did indeed peak at around $67,000 in November 2021, and fell to roughly $16,000 during the bear market nadir in November 2022. This perceived accuracy has boosted the viral popularity of the chart among crypto circles.
While the chart’s predictions appear strikingly on point at first look, there are several issues that make it hard to accept this as an original, credible record.
The main issue centers on verification: There is no archived link, user identifier, or any tracing detail that could tie the post to a real identity or allow for third-party authentication. By its design, 4chan is built on anonymity. Without an archived version, there is simply no way to prove that the same individual made these predictions before the actual price movements occurred.
Visible discrepancies between old and new images
A July 2024 post on Binance Square indicates that similar language and targets appeared previously, such as the claim to hold “roughly 90% of total supply,” with nearly identical price levels. Notably, in that older version, the price set for Bitcoin in September 2024 was $105,400.
In the new viral image, however, the September 2024 target is adjusted downward to $74,000, and an entirely new goal of $145,000 is introduced for October 2026. This revision raises suspicions that the graphic or the list of predictions may have been retroactively altered to fit Bitcoin’s real market trajectory more closely.
The shift in target prices between older and newer images is regarded as a major red flag, suggesting the post may have been updated or reconstructed after the fact.
Price and market cap claims don’t add up
The viral chart also claims that these predictions would result in Bitcoin reaching a staggering $5.7 trillion market capitalization, with Bitcoin dominance hovering between 40% and 47%. However, calculating with a price of $145,000 and roughly 20 million circulating BTC, the resulting market cap is around $2.9 trillion. Even going by the total maximum supply of 21 million, the valuation only reaches about $3.05 trillion.
Thus, the $5.7 trillion figure does not hold up mathematically if it refers solely to Bitcoin. If it was meant to reflect the entire cryptocurrency market, the post does not make this clear, further undermining its credibility.
The 90% supply claim conflicts with blockchain data
Another bold assertion is that roughly 90% of all Bitcoin is controlled by a specific group. Currently, around 20.04 million Bitcoin are in circulation, with a capped maximum of 21 million. Therefore, 90% control would imply that a group holds about 18 million BTC.
According to Bitinfocharts data, the largest 100 Bitcoin addresses control only about 15.27% of supply, while the largest 10,000 addresses account for 53.89%. Bitinfocharts tracks blockchain distribution and wallet rankings in detail.
This comparison highlights that the 90% control claim is not supported by available on-chain data. As a result, the idea that an anonymous 4chan poster has successfully predicted major Bitcoin price moves through 2026 remains wholly unproven at this stage.
