Crypto analyst and developer Bird has identified a potentially significant shift in XRP’s weekly momentum based on its latest Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) setup. The cryptocurrency’s current technical structure, he stated, resembles previous periods that preceded substantial price rallies for XRP.
MACD patterns and historical bullish moves
Bird’s analysis, shared on X (formerly Twitter), focuses on areas of the XRP weekly chart where prior MACD reversals aligned with strong price increases. He points to three prominent cycles in the past decade when the MACD indicator’s bullish turn coincided with surges in XRP’s price.
The first instance surfaced during 2017, when the weekly MACD turning higher preceded a steep rally in XRP. Bird then references the 2020–2021 cycle, during which the MACD reset and crossed bullish as XRP’s price climbed from approximately $0.20 to nearly $2.
The third example, according to Bird, emerged in 2024. In this period, a bullish turn in the MACD came before XRP advanced from around $0.50 to above $3. Green circles on Bird’s chart indicate where weekly momentum reversed, with each period marking the start of a new upward trend for the cryptocurrency.
XRP’s weekly MACD has repeatedly signaled sharp price moves. In 2017, the MACD’s turn preceded a rapid rally, while in 2020 and 2024, bullish shifts predicted moves from roughly $0.20 to nearly $2, and from about $0.50 to above $3, respectively.
Bird concludes that these repeating historical patterns form the foundation for his current outlook on XRP.
Current MACD reset and momentum shift
Bird highlights that the most notable feature of the latest MACD configuration is the depth of its reset. He observes the indicator falling far below the zero line before beginning to rise. This, he explains, marks a more pronounced reset compared to earlier cycles and could signal a significant shift in market momentum.
The analyst further notes the expansion of green bars on the MACD histogram, suggesting bearish momentum may be fading while bullish momentum starts to establish itself.
A deep negative MACD indicates a wide gap between short-term and long-term weekly moving averages. Should the price stabilize and short-term averages approach long-term measures, Bird expects the MACD could have substantial room to move higher before even reaching the zero line.
He describes this scenario as a clear contrast to shallow momentum recoveries observed in the past.
Mini dictionary: MACD, or Moving Average Convergence Divergence, is a widely used technical indicator in financial markets. It tracks the relationship between short-term and long-term moving averages to identify changes in trend strength and momentum.
Bird on potential for new XRP highs
Although XRP’s current price remains near $1.40 and below the peak of over $3, Bird suggests the developing momentum reversal could set the stage for another major price cycle if prior patterns repeat themselves.
He indicates that if the technical setup plays out as it has in previous years, XRP would not likely see only a modest bounce, but may instead target new record highs as the market enters a new phase of price discovery.
“If history rhymes, I’m not expecting just a small bounce. We may see the biggest green candles XRP has ever printed,” Bird asserts, referencing the likelihood of a substantial rally if current momentum continues.
Bird maintains that past MACD reversals served as early signals for strong upward moves, and the amplified current reset could present similar prospects for XRP if confirmed in coming weeks.
