A recent analysis by X platform analyst LAR7Crypto has drawn attention with a bold projection for Hedera Hashgraph’s native token, HBAR. The analyst suggested that major investors are accumulating HBAR, forecasting a potential rally of around 455% in the coming months, provided key price conditions are met.
Key technical levels and targets outlined
LAR7Crypto shared a weekly price chart of the HBAR/USDT perpetual market on Binance, highlighting a persistent downward trend that dates back to a sharp price spike in late 2024. According to the analyst, HBAR needs to overcome a long-standing descending resistance line and establish itself above a significant horizontal price band to confirm a bullish reversal.
The analysis does not point to a new all-time high but instead focuses on breaking out of the established downtrend. LAR7Crypto identified three upside targets: $0.1540, $0.3045, and $0.4015. On September 17, HBAR traded near $0.076, which remains well below the initial target level.
The analyst characterized the horizontal price band as a “strong mirror level,” reflecting price reactions at four distinct points since late 2025. This repeated testing of the band, referred to as “retests,” suggests its significance as both support and resistance in recent market action.
| Target | Price Level | % Gain from $0.076 |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Target | $0.1540 | ~103% |
| 2nd Target | $0.3045 | ~300% |
| 3rd Target | $0.4015 | ~455% |
LAR7Crypto argued that a sustained weekly close above both the mirror level and the descending trendline would convert overhead resistance into a new support base, potentially clearing the way for rapid gains toward the specified targets.
LAR7Crypto emphasized that, “A weekly close above the mirror level and the falling trendline flips the ceiling into a new floor and opens a fast move to $0.15, then the mid-$0.30s, and $0.40.”
Accumulation thesis questioned by chart signals
The analyst described the current price action as evidence of “accumulation” by large holders, implying that institutional money is positioning ahead of an anticipated breakout. However, the available chart data did not confirm the identities of buyers or provide clear indications of smart money involvement. The price has remained range-bound after a prolonged decline, hovering near areas with prior demand.
A range with multiple defenses can signal accumulation, but it may also represent stagnation by investors unwilling to sell at lower levels. The interpretation of this sideways movement as accumulation remained the working hypothesis in the analysis, though the chart alone could not conclusively support it.
The analysis observed, “For now, HBAR remains under the descending line. Until it decisively breaks out above the mirror zone, the weekly chart is still at lower highs. Four strong reactions mark the zone as pivotal, but both buyers and sellers have fought for control.”
The scenario is not without risk. Should HBAR fail to hold above the key horizontal band, the analyst warned that attention would shift to previous support in the 7-cent and mid-6-cent area, heightening downside risk if the broader structure breaks down.
The highlighted 455% potential rally remains a target, not a guarantee, and is contingent on the conditions identified in the technical analysis. Confirmation would require HBAR to hold the mirror level and sustain a close above it, effectively shifting the market’s structural bias.
Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) is a public network that enables decentralized applications, utilizing a unique consensus mechanism known as the hashgraph algorithm.
Mini dictionary: Hedera Hashgraph, sometimes referred to simply as Hedera, is a distributed ledger platform that uses a hashgraph consensus rather than blockchain. This structure aims to deliver high transaction speeds and security without relying on energy-intensive mining.
