XRP has been following a series of repeatable price cycles, according to crypto analyst Cleo Schmidt, who recently shared a daily chart outlining XRP’s movement from June through October 2026. The chart highlights a completed phase and a second, ongoing pattern, with Schmidt suggesting that the present moment plays a pivotal role in determining XRP’s near-term direction.
AMD pattern guides XRP’s structure
Schmidt identified the AMD pattern—Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution—as the framework shaping XRP’s recent price action. One full cycle has played out already, while the next is actively unfolding. During the first cycle, XRP remained in a consolidation zone between $1 and $1.20 from July into early August, marking the Accumulation stage.
This was followed by a pullback below $1, categorized as the Manipulation phase. The move culminated in a swift rally that took XRP up to $1.68, entering the Distribution phase and completing the cycle.
A new cycle began directly afterward. XRP consolidated between $1.40 and $1.55, then retreated to $1.3049. Schmidt indicates that this current price point reflects the Manipulation phase of the second cycle, mirroring how the first cycle developed before its breakout.
The current cycle’s structure shows XRP sitting squarely in the Manipulation phase, with price now below the previous Accumulation range. This positioning is nearly identical to where XRP stood before its prior surge, according to Schmidt’s analysis.
Distribution phase and projections
Schmidt maintains that the Distribution phase is imminent and could follow the present Manipulation period. According to her projection, the next significant price move targets a range between $2.20 and $2.30. This would mark a substantial advance over the previous cycle’s peak.
Schmidt described the current setup, noting that “distribution is coming next.” The projected target boxes on her chart suggest an optimistic outlook if the AMD pattern repeats. Schmidt emphasizes that XRP is “set to reach great heights during this cycle.”
Cycle timing and implications
The earlier stages of the pattern saw each phase unfolding with minimal delay. Should this progression continue, XRP could rapidly transition from the Manipulation phase to Distribution, delivering a move that outpaces the previous high.
Schmidt’s analysis cautions that many traders may be caught off guard by the next directional move if current technical expectations play out, especially as price retracements in the cycle can be sharp and short-lived.
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Schmidt’s projection forecasts a price range of $2.20 to $2.30 for XRP in the coming Distribution phase, making this cycle’s target considerably higher than the last.
At the current price of $1.3049, XRP stands within its Manipulation range, preparing for what technical analysis suggests could be a significant upward movement.
