The host of the popular YouTube channel InvestAnswers presents intriguing predictions regarding Bitcoin’s potential price movements in a recent video. By examining factors such as Bitcoin’s current market value, circulating supply, and the number of lost coins, the video scrutinizes the likelihood of new money supply flowing into Bitcoin 
$111,562. This approach lays out potential price target scenarios that could emerge during market corrections. The host aims to educate investors with cautious forecasts, steering clear of excessive optimism.
Price Model Based on Global Money Supply
According to the method used in the analysis, a minor percentage of the world’s total M2 money supply shifting to Bitcoin could result in significant price increases. For instance, if only 0.5% of this new money supply were to flow into Bitcoin, the price could reach approximately $115,000. The model indicates that there are 15 million Bitcoins in circulation, with 5 million considered lost, and calculations are made in relation to the current market value.
The InvestAnswers host also considered more extreme scenarios. If 1% of these new assets were to flow into Bitcoin, he suggested that BTC could soar to $146,000. However, he noted that while such predictions are within the realm of possibility, they remain overly optimistic. He emphasized that his approach relies on assumptions ranging from 0.25% to 0.5%.
This approach is shaped not only by market dynamics but also by global economic developments and the behaviors of nation-states. Particularly, the scenario of countries struggling with inflation creating new currency to invest in Bitcoin could significantly impact price targets.
Nation-States and Bitcoin’s Potential
Another noteworthy point highlighted in the video is the potential interest of nations in Bitcoin. The host discussed the possibility that some governments might print their own money to purchase BTC, suggesting that if this occurs, price predictions might be revised significantly upward. Such developments could shape the market through political and strategic maneuvers beyond the classic supply-demand balance.
The InvestAnswers host stated that he has consistently regarded a range of $119,000 to $120,000 as a reasonable target. However, he cautioned that investors should not focus solely on a single target, referencing the market’s history of surprises. He also noted that while various analysts propose much higher targets, these often lack a solid foundation.
The systematic approach underlying this model presents an unconventional method for generating predictions within the cryptocurrency market. By linking a macroeconomic factor like global money supply to the world of digital currencies, it demonstrates that price targets can be evaluated not only through technical analyses but also through broader economic parameters.
