In recent weeks, fluctuations in the cryptocurrency world have increased the concerns of Avalanche (AVAX) investors. AVAX, the native cryptocurrency of the Avalanche Blockchain, has experienced a significant drop, reaching the lowest levels of the past six months. Over the past week, AVAX lost 15% of its value, bringing its market cap down to $9.5 billion and its price to $24.24. Additionally, technical analyses indicating further losses have heightened investor anxiety.
Technical Analyses Indicate Further Decline
The technical analysis of AVAX shows a head and shoulders pattern, indicating a continued downtrend. Analyst Crypto Patel noted that AVAX has crossed the neckline, a critical support level that usually leads to significant price drops. According to Patel, this pattern could result in a 40-60% decline in AVAX’s price, potentially bringing it down to $19 or even $13.
One of the significant factors contributing to the price drop in AVAX is the sales conducted by a large AVAX holder. Identified by the address “0x32…4f30,” this entity transferred 1.96 million AVAX coins to major cryptocurrency exchanges like Binance, Coinbase, and Gate. The total value of these transfers was estimated at approximately $54.2 million. Such large-scale sales by whales can create panic in the market, increasing selling pressure and causing prices to drop further.
Whale activities and the subsequent price drops have also negatively impacted Avalanche’s market position. AVAX’s value fell below $10 billion, lagging behind other leading altcoins like Tron (TRX) and Shiba Inu (SHIB). Since mid-March, Avalanche has lost approximately $14 billion in value, highlighting the severity of the current decline.
Warnings for AVAX Investors
Analysts advise investors to be cautious given the bearish outlook for AVAX. Crypto Patel emphasizes that those looking to take long positions in AVAX should set strict stop-loss levels to minimize potential risks. Current market conditions require investors to implement careful risk management strategies.
Despite recent declines, there are some positive developments for Avalanche. Notably, the initiation of AVAX staking on Coinbase could provide some price support. Staking allows investors to earn rewards by participating in network security, which could attract more interest to AVAX. However, given that technical indicators and market sentiment point to the possibility of further corrections, a cautious short-term outlook is recommended.
