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Crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen evaluated Bitcoin’s historical performance, suggesting it might reach six-digit prices. In comments made on the David Lin Report, Cowen noted that Bitcoin’s annual price increases are consistent with previous halving periods. According to Cowen, Bitcoin’s potential rise depends on economic indicators, particularly unemployment rates.
Halving Cycles and Bitcoin’s Historical Performance
Cowen remarked that he has studied Bitcoin 
$105,966’s behavior during past halving cycles, indicating that today’s price movements show a similar trend. He stated, “Since the beginning of the year, Bitcoin has approximately doubled its annual opening price. This aligns closely with the average performance in previous halving years.” He emphasized that in the last three halving years, Bitcoin’s annual opening price increased by up to three times.
However, Cowen pointed out that current macroeconomic conditions may significantly impact price movements. He suggested that if unemployment rates come in higher than expected, it could delay Bitcoin’s price increase. Cowen mentioned that labor market data to be released in two weeks will be crucial in this context, stating, “If the unemployment rate stays between 4.0% and 4.2%, Bitcoin could reach six-digit prices.”
High Unemployment Rate Could Pose Risks
Cowen highlighted the influence of economic indicators on crypto markets. According to him, if the unemployment rate exceeds 4.3%, Bitcoin’s six-digit price target may be pushed back to 2025. He added, “Only a negative scenario in the labor market could prevent reaching this target,” while asserting that lower unemployment rates would support Bitcoin’s price movements.
Cowen’s analyses provoke discussions among Bitcoin enthusiasts, yet historical data based on halving periods remains a reassuring signal for long-term investors. He concluded, “When viewed from a cyclical perspective, Bitcoin’s performance is promising. Nevertheless, macroeconomic indicators should be monitored closely.”
The effects of economic indicators on Bitcoin continue to be a significant factor for traders. Particularly, positive scenarios supported by halving cycles hold the potential to alter market dynamics, prompting investors to reassess their strategies.
