A social media post that recently resurfaced has brought attention back to an anonymous prediction claiming to foresee multiple Bitcoin price levels between 2019 and 2024. The controversial forecast now captures headlines for setting a target price of $145,000 for BTC in October 2026. However, uncertainty remains regarding the authenticity of the data and the original image behind these widely circulated claims.
Unverifiable source chain
The screenshot in question was shared online by the crypto account Corleone, allegedly depicting an anonymous 4chan-style post dated December 20, 2018. The image suggests a certain group controls roughly 90% of the total Bitcoin supply and lists a series of ambitious price targets for BTC spanning from October 2019 through October 2026.
At first glance, some of the predictions appear strikingly accurate. For example, Bitcoin traded near $67,000 in November 2021 and bottomed out around $16,000 during the bear market of November 2022, closely matching the purported forecasts. This striking alignment has fueled intense public interest in the post.
Although the predictions in the image seem unusually precise, multiple issues make it difficult to accept the visual as a genuine or reliable record.
Chief among these concerns is the lack of any independently verifiable archive link, user tag, or other identifying trace that would tie the predictions to a specific individual. Given 4chan’s highly anonymous structure, there is no way to prove these forecasts were made before the events without an archival reference.
Differences between earlier and viral versions
A separate post from July 2024 on Binance Square reveals a remarkably similar prediction, including the statement about “holding approximately 90% of the total supply” and similar price targets. In that earlier version, the projected Bitcoin price for September 2024 was $105,400.
In contrast, the newly viral image places the September 2024 figure at $74,000, while adding a fresh target of $145,000 for October 2026. Such changes have raised suspicion that the image or list of forecasts may have been modified over time to better fit Bitcoin’s actual price movements.
The differing prices between older and newer versions serve as a strong warning signal that the prediction post may have been edited or reconstructed as events unfolded.
Inconsistent market value calculations
The prediction also claims that such price levels would result in a market capitalization of $5.7 trillion for Bitcoin, with BTC dominance ranging between 40% and 47%. However, calculating with a $145,000 price and around 20 million BTC in circulation, Bitcoin’s market cap would only be about $2.9 trillion. Even using the maximum supply cap of 21 million, the figure only reaches approximately $3.05 trillion.
Therefore, if the $5.7 trillion figure refers to Bitcoin directly, it is mathematically inconsistent. If it means the total cryptocurrency market, that’s not made explicitly clear, leaving the claim unsubstantiated.
The 90% supply claim does not match chain data
Another bold claim in the viral post is that roughly 90% of Bitcoin’s total supply is held by a specific group. With Bitcoin’s circulating supply at about 20.04 million and the maximum capped at 21 million, this would mean controlling approximately 18 million BTC.
Yet according to Bitinfocharts, the 100 largest Bitcoin addresses account for only about 15.27% of the total supply, while the top 10,000 addresses hold approximately 53.89%. Bitinfocharts monitors blockchain address distributions and net worth rankings.
This data shows that the widely circulated 90% claim does not match current on-chain records. Consequently, the assertion that an anonymous 4chan user accurately predicted major Bitcoin price movements through 2026 remains unproven for now.
