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The leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin 
$103,188, has dropped below the critical 200-day moving average (83,000 dollars) in the last 24 hours, falling under the 80,000 dollar threshold. Experts indicate that this level serves as a last line of defense for investors, warning that a sustained decline could see prices plummet to 75,000 dollars. Market data suggests heightened volatility in the short term due to increased selling pressure and negative market sentiment.
Key Technical Levels for Bitcoin
A sharp pullback from the resistance level at 92,000 dollars on Bitcoin’s daily chart triggered the drop below the 200-day moving average. This level coincides with the Fibonacci 0.5 retracement level, previously regarded as an important support zone for investors. However, rising selling volumes led to the breach of this region.
Currently, prices are stabilizing in the 77,000 to 80,000 dollar range, finding support at the lower boundary of the bullish channel and the Fibonacci 0.618 level. If this level is lost, the liquidity zone below 77,000 dollars might become a target. The four-hour chart reflects uncertainty around the consolidation near the 80,000 dollar mark, and a clear trend formation requires breaking out of this range.
What Do On-Chain Data Reveal?
On-chain analyses highlight that the realized price of 3-6 month UTXOs (83,000 dollars) is a critical psychological threshold for Bitcoin. Historically, this level represents the average cost for mid-term investors and can serve as a turning point in market dynamics. A price sustained below this level could reinforce fear scenarios.
A decline maintained below the realized price may elevate selling pressure from short-term holders. This scenario could open the door for institutional investors, referred to as “smart money,” to adopt accumulation strategies at lower levels. Consequently, the 83,000 dollar threshold will play a crucial role in determining Bitcoin’s price direction in the coming weeks.
