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Bitcoin 
$103,182 has entered a price correction following the historical peaks it reached in recent weeks. Analysts are evaluating whether this process resembles the bull season of 2017. The analysis indicates that price movements partially align with past cycles, although notable differences have emerged. Investor indicators and data delays contribute to a broader understanding of the current market dynamics.
Comparing the Cycles of 2025 and 2017
Following the decline in 2022, Bitcoin has experienced significant recovery in 2023 and 2024. This recovery has created a bullish model reminiscent of the 2015-2017 period. However, the horizontal movement and partial decline starting in early 2025 diverge from the uninterrupted upward trend seen in 2017, suggesting that market behaviors do not entirely overlap with past patterns.
Experts note that despite historical similarities, the current movements point to different dynamics. In 2017, prices rose almost continuously, while today’s market is marked by frequent corrections. This indicates that investors are acting with more caution and shorter-term strategies. Additionally, the broader investor base complicates direct comparisons with previous cycles.
Investor Indicators and Data Delays
One of the key indicators used in market analysis, the MVRV ratio, reveals the difference between investors’ average purchase prices and the current market value. A high MVRV indicates that most investors are in profit, while a low ratio suggests prices are close to investor costs. The recent decline in MVRV indicates that the market is moving away from the overbought zone.
Experts suggest that changes in the MVRV ratio can be crucial for assessing investor sentiment. Particularly for long-term investors, such indicators provide hints about the continuation of trends. However, it is important to remember that these indicators do not always provide precise signals.
Additionally, delays in economic data, such as global liquidity, complicate market analysis. These data typically arrive with a delay of 30 to 60 days, making it difficult to correlate current prices with past data. Therefore, some analyses include lagged calculations to find clearer similarities with previous cycles, but this delay increases the risk of uncertainty in current investment decisions.
