A resurfaced social media post has put a spotlight on an anonymous Bitcoin prediction that supposedly forecasted multiple price levels between 2019 and 2024. According to the viral image, Bitcoin is set to reach $145,000 by October 2026. Yet critical questions about the authenticity of the data and the original source of the image persist, raising skepticism among the crypto community.
Source chain remains unverifiable
The screenshot, shared by crypto account Corleone, appears to be a 4chan-style anonymous post dated December 20, 2018. It claims that a specific group holds roughly 90% of the total Bitcoin supply and lays out a series of price targets running from October 2019 to October 2026.
At first glance, the predictions seem unusually accurate: Bitcoin traded at about $67,000 in November 2021 and hit the bear market low near $16,000 in November 2022, matching numbers in the post. This uncanny precision quickly drew widespread attention online.
The predictions in the image initially appear extraordinarily correct, but there are multiple problems that make it difficult to regard this as an original and reliable record.
The biggest issue remains the lack of any verifiable archive link, user marker, or identifying traceable to the original poster. By design, 4chan is based on anonymous sharing, making it impossible to prove the predictions were made before subsequent price action without an archived source.
Discrepancies between earlier and viral images
A July 2024 Binance Square post featured the same phrase “we hold about 90% of the total supply” and similar price targets. However, the older version predicted $105,400 for Bitcoin in September 2024.
In the newer viral image, the September 2024 target is instead listed as $74,000, while a fresh price target of $145,000 for October 2026 has been added. This shift has fueled suspicions that the image or its predictions may have been edited over time to more closely reflect actual price movements.
The gap between old and new price targets is considered a strong warning sign that the post may have been modified or reconstructed as events unfolded.
Market cap calculation raises red flags
The image also claims a market cap of $5.7 trillion and Bitcoin dominance between 40% and 47%. But at $145,000 per Bitcoin and approximately 20 million in circulation, the total market cap would only reach about $2.9 trillion. Even calculating with the maximum 21 million supply, the market cap would still sit at only $3.05 trillion.
Therefore, if the $5.7 trillion figure is meant for Bitcoin alone, it simply does not add up mathematically. If it references the entire crypto market, the post is unclear on this point, further undermining its credibility.
The 90% holdings claim does not match data
A particularly eyebrow-raising claim suggests a specific group holds around 90% of all Bitcoin. Currently, about 20.04 million Bitcoin are in circulation, with a capped maximum supply of 21 million; 90% control would mean one group possessing roughly 18 million Bitcoin.
However, according to Bitinfocharts, the top 100 Bitcoin addresses hold only around 15.27% of the total supply, and the top 10,000 addresses collectively control about 53.89%. Bitinfocharts is known for tracking blockchain data via address distribution and wealth ranking.
This data makes it clear that the viral post’s 90% control claim is not corroborated by current on-chain analytics. As a result, the narrative that an anonymous 4chan user accurately predicted significant Bitcoin price movements through 2026 remains unverified at this stage.
