With Bitcoin 
$91,967 maintaining its position above the $100,000 threshold, renowned crypto analyst Capo of Crypto issued a stark warning via his Telegram account, suggesting the price could temporarily fall to $70,000. The analyst highlighted that large wallets are discreetly selling, and institutional purchases are insufficient to elevate the price sustainably. According to him, a clear breakdown below $100,000 might trigger a rapid decline, initially to the $92,000 to $93,000 range and subsequently to the $60,000 to $70,000 band. Currently trading at $108,912, Bitcoin appears fragile amid growing global tensions.
Capo Highlights $100,000 Support as Crucial
Capo places the $100,000 support at the core of his decline scenario. He argues that the first definitive candlestick closure below this level would significantly expedite selling pressure. The analyst added that large block transactions, which he describes as “hidden movements,” are entering exchanges while volume data conceals this activity.
While institutional portfolio managers continue adding crypto to reserves, the lack of upward price momentum raises the possibility of accumulation. According to Capo, purchases by long-term investors are balanced by whale sales, setting the stage for a potential breakdown.
Capo reminded that altcoins have depreciated by 30-50% since the May peak. Despite this, he continues to enlarge his short positions, indicating that the steep pullback he expects in Bitcoin could instigate an additional 50-80% drop in altcoins, which still appear vulnerable.
Old Wallet Movements Spark New Risks
Recently, the movement of 80,000 BTC from dormant wallets, inactive for 14 years, increased sell-related concerns. With a total value surpassing $8.7 billion, the destination of these transfers remains uncertain. The analyst believes such Bitcoin flows challenge the view of distribution and accumulation, positing that the awakening of dormant capital might exert pressure on the market with the potential for fresh supply influx.
Beyond blockchain data, Capo identifies geopolitical tensions as a pressure source on Bitcoin’s price. The analyst thinks the chip supply-focused conflict between China and Taiwan could trigger a domino effect in financial markets. He suggests that an eventual supply shock from Taiwan might accelerate the flight from risky assets, resulting in panic sales in the crypto market. In this scenario, an additional 50-80% drop in altcoins is feasible.
