Galaxy Digital, led by Mike Novogratz, is preparing to enter the burgeoning sector of prediction markets within the digital asset realm. In an interview with Bloomberg, Novogratz revealed that the company has conducted “small-scale trials” in market making on the Polymarket and Kalshi platforms. He expressed plans to soon provide broader liquidity on these platforms.
Galaxy Digital’s Strategic Move: The Intersection of Knowledge and Finance
Galaxy Digital’s pivot towards prediction markets highlights the growing interest in new-age investment areas that blend information and finance. Polymarket and Kalshi emerge as dominant platforms in the sector, boasting a total transaction volume exceeding $42.4 billion. These platforms enable users to trade “yes” or “no” contracts, pricing probabilities, and have become increasingly significant for market-based data generation within the financial world.
Since September, Kalshi, regulated by the CFTC, has surpassed the decentralized-focused Polymarket in monthly transaction volume. While Polymarket gained popularity, especially with U.S. election outcomes, Kalshi’s regulatory edge has started attracting institutional investors. By providing liquidity to both platforms, Galaxy Digital could intensify competition within the sector.
Analysts from Bernstein note that prediction markets are evolving into “broader knowledge markets,” with demand extending beyond just politics or sports. There is rapid growth in transaction volume across different spheres, including economy, culture, corporate activities, and financial indicators.
New Partnerships and the Market’s Future
Galaxy Digital’s potential partnership with Polymarket and Kalshi signals a period where the boundaries between crypto and traditional finance are becoming increasingly blurred. According to Bloomberg, significant entities like Google Finance and the National Hockey League have also recently collaborated with these platforms. These partnerships are viewed as strategic moves that strengthen the legitimacy and visibility of prediction markets.
The rising institutional interest in prediction markets offers new opportunities for the democratization of financial data production. Industry giants such as Gemini and CME Group have also announced plans to develop their own prediction platforms, confirming the future growth potential of this space. Galaxy Digital’s role as a liquidity provider is seen as a critical juncture that can enhance both investor confidence and market depth.
