The recent unemployment claims figures were deemed negative for the cryptocurrency market. However, the situation shifted somewhat with the influence of the Bank of Japan. With more than a month until the next Federal Reserve meeting, the market’s expectations for interest rate cuts will continuously fluctuate during this period.
Cryptocurrencies on the Decline
The dollar saw a mild increase, and United States treasury bonds followed as the unemployment claims figures came in below expectations. It is essential for employment data to continue reflecting negatively to prevent heightened concerns about interest rate cuts. If a potential surge in unemployment remains evident, the Fed might take the situation as seriously as the risk of an inflation surge and consider faster rate cuts. The Fed’s dual mandate focuses on inflation and employment, with recent emphasis on the latter likely to persist.
Despite pressure from two members for a rate hike, the Bank of Japan left interest rates unchanged. Moreover, it initiated steps to start selling its enormous ETF holdings. News from Asia adversely affected risk markets. The combination of these developments and yesterday’s unemployment figures is leading to a decline in cryptocurrency values today.
Today, a significant phone conversation between Trump and Xi was scheduled. Notable Chinese sources confirmed the meeting, but the White House has yet to release a statement. Meanwhile, the EU plans sanctions against China due to its ties with Russia, pressured by the US, and could soon take action. Consequently, potential secondary sanctions from the US against Russia will emerge, unfavorably impacting cryptocurrencies.
Focus at 18:00
At 18:00, new Fed member Miran will make statements, followed by Daly at 21:30. The interpretation of current economic data by Miran, seen as Trump’s representative at the Fed, will be significant. We will share crucial details from his statements here.
Miran completed his approvals to vote within the institution just hours before this meeting. There was opposition indicating he sought a 50 basis point rate cut decision. His initial commentary as a Fed member, reflecting on macroeconomic developments, will be crucial.
Miran will likely emphasize the weakness in employment and the need for faster interest rate cuts while discussing Fed’s independence.
Cook, whom Trump attempted to remove, is pleased and remains in office thanks to a favorable injunction from the Supreme Court. This development, by curbing debates about the Fed’s independence, presents a positive nuance for cryptocurrencies.
