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The global economy is on edge as concerns about stagflation rise amidst President Trump’s tariffs, creating unease in the markets over economic recession and increasing inflation. These developments prompt investors to focus on long-term strategies while assessing potential returns.
Economic Stagflation and Tariffs
Zach Pandl, the Head of Grayscale Research, highlights that tariffs can reduce economic growth while increasing inflation, bringing the potential stagflation effects of tariffs to the forefront of discussions. He states, “Tariffs deliver a stagflation shock to the economy; they reduce growth and raise inflation.”
While the markets are currently concentrated on the risks of recession, there are also considerations regarding the likelihood of persistent inflation over time. Historical crises, such as the Arab oil embargo in the 1970s, saw investors turning to gold amid market uncertainty. Experts emphasize that today’s economic dynamics differ significantly from those of the past, particularly regarding the growth performance of the American economy.
Bitcoin and Tariffs
Although Bitcoin 
$105,060 has fallen short during previous economic uncertainty periods, it has begun to attract interest from various investor groups under current market conditions. In particular, if the dollar weakens, emerging market investors may position Bitcoin as a prominent crypto asset.
Steve Sosnick, Chief Strategist at Interactive Brokers, notes that the unemployment rate in the U.S. remains low and inflation is more controlled compared to the past. He observes, “Although concerns about stagflation exist, we have not yet reached the severity of shocks experienced in the 1970s.” This perspective indicates ongoing discussions about balancing risk and opportunity while evaluating the overall market situation.
The Federal Reserve’s recent meeting hints at maintaining current interest rates to support the economy, with potential reductions in the future. Pandl remarked that the effects of rate cuts could be beneficial for economic support, saying, “The message we received from Jay Powell indicates that rate cuts may be possible.”
In light of these developments, there is an increasing effort among investors to diversify their portfolios, leading to comparisons between gold and digital assets. In an environment of general market uncertainty, the importance of long-term strategies is becoming increasingly evident.
