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In a recent interview with CNBC, Mike Novogratz, CEO of Galaxy Digital, highlighted significant risks facing the U.S. markets due to global economic developments. He emphasized that the tariffs implemented have altered the global security framework and that returning political leaders have contributed to uncertainty in the market.
Impact of Global Economic Developments
Despite a roughly 10% drop in stock prices since the beginning of the year, Novogratz argued that this decline has not adequately responded to global changes. The tariffs in place have heightened existing market risks, while the resurgence of key political figures has deepened the uncertainty.
Bitcoin and Financial Strategies
Novogratz pointed out that Bitcoin 
$103,153 tends to perform well during periods of macroeconomic stress. He suggested that as long as investors retain some risk appetite, the cryptocurrency could appreciate in value. This potential growth is supported by a shift of capital towards safe havens like gold and away from the U.S. dollar.
Moreover, he noted that the adoption of Bitcoin is still in its early stages, with growing interest from both institutional and individual investors. Its movement towards independence from traditional stock markets keeps hopes for BTC’s future alive.
Risky Economic Policies of the U.S.
The rise in interest rates and the weakening of the dollar in the U.S. economy mirror behaviors seen in developing markets. This situation can be viewed as a concerning combination that hasn’t been observed in a long time.
Novogratz remarked, “We are clearly in a risky environment,” indicating that the markets are approaching with caution.
Recalling economist Hyman Minsky’s theories, Novogratz suggested that the U.S. may be entering a phase where its debt levels become significant. Although it has long been able to sustain large deficits, he cautioned that this luxury might soon come to an end.
Furthermore, he pointed out that the policies under Trump were overly aggressive and not sustainable. Even minor increases in treasury yields could have substantial impacts on the $35 trillion national debt, raising questions about fiscal discipline. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon echoed similar sentiments, warning that America’s global power may be at risk and recommended dialogues with China.
Both market participants and economic experts concur that current developments could have long-term effects on market behaviors. In light of this information, the increasing risk factors in financial markets may reshape investment strategies.
