One of the most significant cryptocurrency investment firms, QCP Capital, has highlighted that increased volatility hit the crypto market before the weekend, warning that the downward pressure could persist. Analysts advised investors to hedge their positions in case the decline continues.
QCP Capital Issues a Hedging Alert for Bitcoin
Data shows that before the weekend, Bitcoin‘s (BTC) price fell to $65,565 and Ethereum‘s (ETH) to $3,566, significantly increasing volatility. This situation has led to increased anxiety among investors.
In addition to the rise in volatility, QCP Capital analysts pointed out that the weak inflow of $132.7 million into spot Bitcoin ETFs on the last trading day (March 14) signals a sharp decline in demand. Analysts emphasized that the market anxiety intensified, particularly with BTC below $65,000 and ETH below the $3,000 level, due to negative risk reversals extending into May.
QCP Capital analysts warned that institutional players, who were aggressive buyers during the uptrend, have started to sell off large positions, reflecting a change in sentiment. They also highlighted that the BTC forward curve has experienced a 3-4% drop since the morning, suggesting this could be the last chance to capture the base yield of 18-25% before it returns to its typical levels of 8-10%.
Currently, analysts are suggesting a downside hedge using BTC or ETH put spreads. They recommend purchasing a $60,000/$50,000 put spread for BTC with a cost of $1,190 per BTC (spot reference price $67,000), expiring on March 29, 2024. This strategy could yield a maximum return of $10,000 per BTC if the price stays below $60,000 and ends at $50,000 or lower at expiration.
Investors Should Exercise Caution
Implementing put spreads is part of a strategic approach to managing downside risk amid market uncertainty. Such investment strategies provide investors with a structured tool to protect against potential price drops while still allowing participation in potential upward movements. As market participants grapple with increased volatility and fluctuating sentiment, strategies like put spreads can help optimize portfolio performance by reducing risks.
On the other hand, experts advise investors to carefully assess their risk tolerance and investment objectives before using such strategies. While put spreads can offer protection against downward price movements, they also require a comprehensive evaluation. Additionally, active risk management in the rapidly changing cryptocurrency market and adjusting hedging strategies accordingly is a critical necessity.