The probability of Len Sassaman being the real Satoshi Nakamoto on Polymarket has dropped below 30% in recent hours. Previously, Sassaman was considered the most likely candidate with a 55% probability regarding his identity as the individual behind the Bitcoin 
$91,652 pseudonym. This sudden decline raises questions about the reasons behind it.
Sassaman and the Nakamoto Identity
Within the cryptocurrency community, there are skeptics who do not fully believe that Len Sassaman is Satoshi Nakamoto. One of the biggest doubters is his wife, who publicly addressed the matter three years later. She rejected the claims that her husband was Satoshi Nakamoto, asserting that despite his deep interest in cryptography and privacy technologies, he was not behind Bitcoin.
“A well-researched and good article, but as far as I know, Len was not Satoshi.” – Mrs. Meredith Patterson
Meredith Patterson acknowledges the value of the article’s exploration of history and mental health, but maintains her belief that her husband did not play a role in the creation of Bitcoin.
Polymarket and HBO Documentary Investment
As of October 5, the Polymarket pool surpassed $2.39 million, with participants making predictions about the upcoming documentary “Money Electric: The Bitcoin Mystery.” Speculations have increased that the documentary might reveal Satoshi’s identity, a claim HBO has implied.
Initially, Len Sassaman was seen as the most likely candidate for Satoshi Nakamoto on Polymarket. A cryptographer, Sassaman made significant contributions to PGP encryption and TCP technologies.
Whether HBO can uncover Satoshi Nakamoto’s true identity may illuminate a mystery that has remained unsolved since Bitcoin’s inception. Previous journalistic efforts to reveal Satoshi’s identity have all ultimately failed. While we may see if HBO’s investigative powers can solve this mystery, the limited traces left by Nakamoto suggest that finding him remains extremely challenging, and some in the community advocate respecting this desire for privacy.
These developments on Polymarket indicate that we may not reach any conclusions regarding Satoshi Nakamoto’s identity next week. The decline in predictions on Polymarket has led to alternative candidates gaining prominence and existing evidence being questioned.
