Token unlocks in cryptocurrencies are known to have a significant impact on market outlook. This situation greatly affects the supply of cryptocurrencies. It has often been observed that these unlocks exert downward pressure on prices. In this context, upcoming unlocks in three projects seem to have the potential to upset investors.
Token Unlocks Underway
First, examining one of the leading projects in the market, ARB, it is known that past unlocks have caused significant declines. For example, after the unlock worth $105 million in mid-June, it was among the worst performers.
DeFi Scholar, who drew attention with his comments on X, said:
The impact on token (ARB): Dropped from 0.92 to 0.77 on the 16th (20% drop).
In his assessment, he noted that the overall market outlook had a significant impact on ARB’s price during the unlock process. On the other hand, Ethereum (ETH) Layer-2 projects experienced significant value drops even under better market conditions, leading to a strong market reaction.
To understand the situation, ARB lost all its gains and has remained below the $1 level since early June. The upcoming unlock, which will release $66 million worth of supply into the market, could trigger a further price drop in ARB.
Current Status for APT
APT also saw significant declines, causing investors to incur losses. Despite this, the price rebounded noticeably from the $5 level.
If the price continues its upward movement, it might reach $7 or $7.5. However, a significant obstacle is the upcoming unlocks.
Looking back, APT experienced a 20% value loss after the June unlock, which was worth over $100 million. This situation could repeat, especially if Bitcoin (BTC) fails to continue its recovery and remains below $60,000.
However, if BTC’s price rises and the negative market outlook dissipates, APT might show strong performance and continue to rise despite the upcoming unlock.
