XRP has fallen below the critical $1.32 support level on the daily chart, a threshold that had helped stabilize prices for months. After a sharp wave of selling that drove it below all major moving averages, the cryptocurrency now trades near $1.15. While the short term technical outlook remains weak, some on chain metrics from the XRP Ledger suggest that the current downtrend could be nearing its end.
Payment activity holds firm despite price slide
Despite the recent pullback in price, payment activity on the XRP Ledger has continued to run high, emerging as a key indicator. While network activity has slowed somewhat in recent days, daily transaction counts remained above 1 million for most of the past month. This pattern shows that network usage has not declined in lockstep with the price.
Analysts note that this sort of divergence often appears when an asset is approaching local bottom territory. Strong network usage in the face of price weakness may hint that most selling pressure is being driven by speculative trades rather than a drop in real demand.
Mini glossary: The XRP Ledger is the open source blockchain network where XRP transactions are recorded. On chain data includes metrics such as transaction counts, payment volumes, and active users, all sourced directly from the network itself.
“The number of transactions on the XRP Ledger staying above 1 million per day for most of last month, despite the price correction, shows that network usage has not weakened as rapidly as the price,” analysts observe.
Volume and active users signal ongoing large scale moves
A second positive on chain metric comes from payment volumes. Last month saw several strong spikes in total XRP payments, one of which surpassed the 1.5 billion XRP mark. The fact that payment volumes remain elevated compared to previous sideways market phases suggests substantial transactions are still happening on the network.
Of all the indicators, active user numbers stand out as perhaps the most crucial. Even after the latest downturn sparked some drop off among XRP Ledger participants, the figure remains high relative to historical averages. The resilience of active users implies genuine network engagement is holding up better than speculative flows in the market.
Technical resistance levels come into focus again
However, for a robust reversal to take shape, XRP must first reclaim the $1.32 area. Previously acting as firm support, this price zone is now closely watched as the first technical threshold that needs to be recaptured.
If buyers can drive the price back above $1.32, the next major target will be the 200 day moving average, which sits near $1.70. Such a move would represent a potential 50 percent rebound from current levels. Still, both price action and on chain data will need to move in tandem for this scenario to build momentum and sustain a turnaround.
