XRP is trading at $1.2963 on the 2-week chart, reflecting an 8.04% loss over the current candle. Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has outlined a technical pattern seen twice in the asset’s history, which may now be developing for a third time. The focus is on a repeating four-stage corrective structure, with possible implications for XRP’s long-term price action.
Four-Stage Structure Reappears
Egrag Crypto has identified a sequence where XRP experiences four major corrective phases, which previously preceded substantial upward momentum. The first occurrence of this pattern spanned 2018 to 2020, ending with a notable bull expansion. The second appeared from 2021 through 2024, delivering a similar progression before another significant breakout.
The analyst now suggests XRP is entering the third round of this cycle. Based on historical behavior, the fourth and final stage is projected to unfold in 2025 and 2026. This assessment draws directly from patterns observed on the 2-week price chart, where the structure’s recurrence has attracted particular attention from market participants.
Egrag Crypto emphasizes that the four-stage formation, visible in 2018–2020 and again from 2021–2024, now appears set to repeat in 2025–2026, yet the process has not completed its final confirmation.
The Critical Technical Levels
Egrag Crypto has highlighted the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) and 200-day SMA, drawn as the cyan and red lines respectively, calling them “macro battlegrounds” for XRP. The price currently hovers near both these averages, making them central indicators to watch for confirming any future bounce or breakdown.
Initial support zones are marked between $1.06 and $1.25, while a deeper support sits at $0.92 in the event of further declines. According to the posted chart analysis, these levels play a pivotal role in determining if the four-stage pattern remains intact and whether a larger move higher can be anticipated.
Fibonacci Targets and Pattern Confirmation
If the current structure confirms as it did in previous cycles, Egrag Crypto has projected a Fibonacci-based roadmap for XRP’s next major moves. Preliminary targets are positioned at $1.67, $2.40, and $3.57. The broader macro targets stand at $9.36, $15.47, and a distant $31.87, calculated from major Fibonacci extensions displayed on the analyst’s chart.
Nevertheless, the analyst notes that none of these targets are considered active until the fourth stage is clearly established and supported by renewed bullish momentum. Broader market conditions and confirmation factors remain crucial for activating any forecasted upside.
Egrag Crypto has cautioned that “the 4th stage is NOT confirmed until the structure reverses and bullish momentum returns,” indicating that pattern recognition alone does not equal certainty.
Market Monitoring and Meme Token Activity
As the pattern continues to unfold, close monitoring of not only technical price action but also broader trading behaviors is advised. In rapidly shifting sectors such as meme tokens, timing and investor trades can swiftly shift the market narrative. Fomo App recently drew attention to a notable occurrence: a trade in the “Niu Lai” token, where an initial investment of $99 reportedly reached approximately $370,000. In these volatile markets, both token selection and market timing prove crucial in capitalizing on trends. Fomo App consolidates discovery, ranking, and transaction notifications to help users follow meme token dynamics and investor activity from a single interface.
XRP’s trajectory near critical support levels remains the focal point for many traders. Whether the repeated four-stage corrective structure reasserts itself for a third time will depend on upcoming price action and momentum shifts over the next cycles.
