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Renowned strategist Benjamin Cowen has shared his insights on Bitcoin’s potential upcoming trend shifts. With a following of approximately 987,300 on social media, Cowen suggests that Bitcoin 
$106,086 may enter a counter-trend rally in the coming months, despite its current corrective phase.
Price Levels and Expectations
Cowen emphasizes the importance of closely monitoring a critical price level for Bitcoin. If Bitcoin remains below $70,000, it is indicated that future rallies may peak at lower levels. Conversely, if it stays above the $70,000 mark, the possibility of achieving new and higher peaks is suggested.
Market Dynamics
The analysis anticipates a significant decline for Bitcoin in the first quarter of 2025, followed by a counter-trend rally in the second and third quarters. According to Cowen’s forecasts, many alternative cryptocurrencies are expected to lose value against Bitcoin during this period, with another decline predicted in the fourth quarter of the year. This scenario hints at the potential for economic contraction in 2026.
Data Supporting the Predictions
Cowen’s earlier prediction of a halt in Bitcoin’s rally above $100,000 coincided with Donald Trump’s anticipated return to office. This forecast appeared analogous to the performance of a fund listed on the Nasdaq. The analyst cites the market reaching a local peak 13 months after the launch of spot Bitcoin funds as a significant example.
Benjamin Cowen: “Fundamentally, if BTC falls below $70,000, lower peaks will form in future rallies; if performance remains above $70,000, it is possible for the rally to continue, reaching higher peaks.”
As of the writing, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $86,380. Cowen’s evaluations stress the importance for market participants to carefully monitor risks and opportunities.
According to the analyst’s predictions, uncertainties may arise in the market’s future. Critical price movements are among the factors that investors should closely observe. These insights can aid new investors and existing stakeholders in their decision-making processes.
