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Reading: Bitcoin holds $63,900 as US PPI misses forecast, Fed rate pause odds rise to 65%
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COINTURK NEWS > Bitcoin (BTC) > Bitcoin holds $63,900 as US PPI misses forecast, Fed rate pause odds rise to 65%
Bitcoin (BTC)

Bitcoin holds $63,900 as US PPI misses forecast, Fed rate pause odds rise to 65%

In Brief

  • 🚨 Bitcoin holds steady near $63,900 after US PPI rises 4.7%, missing forecasts.

  • 📈 Odds of the Fed pausing rates in September increase to 65.6% as inflation cools.

  • ⚡ Major resistance persists for $BTC in the $64,000–$65,000 range despite optimism.

  • 📰 Background: Investors now directly hold tokenized assets in crypto wallets via Web3.
Dr. Levent Kurt
Dr. Levent Kurt 1 hour ago
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Bitcoin traded just above $63,900 throughout Thursday after the United States Producer Price Index (PPI) for July came in lower than economists expected, providing a modest boost to risk assets even as resistance levels remained unbroken.

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Contents
PPI Data Falls Short of ExpectationsFederal Reserve Maintains CautionBitcoin Faces Technical Hurdles Near $64,000

PPI Data Falls Short of Expectations

July PPI remained flat compared to the previous month, coming in below the forecast of a 0.2% gain. On an annual basis, the PPI rose 4.7%, missing the consensus estimate of 4.9%. Analysts attributed the softer inflation print largely to lower gasoline prices and broader declines in the energy sector.

The latest consumer inflation figures echoed this trend, with July’s Consumer Price Index showing a 3.4% annual increase and core CPI at 2.5%. Equity markets responded in kind: the S&P 500 opened up 0.87% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced by 0.94%. Bitcoin followed suit, climbing 0.5% on the day but remaining within its established trading range.

Federal Reserve Maintains Caution

Federal Reserve policymakers have not signaled an immediate shift in their stance, despite the encouraging inflation data. Cleveland Fed president Beth Hammack noted at an Ohio event that progress towards the central bank’s 2% inflation target could potentially take several more years, raising questions about whether such a timeline is tolerable from a policy perspective.

Beth Hammack questioned whether waiting three or four years to reach the inflation target would be an acceptable approach, even acknowledging that recent disinflation trends have been promising but may remain insufficient for now.

Traders have turned their attention to the upcoming Federal Reserve Jackson Hole Symposium, anticipating more clarity on the central bank’s future direction. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, current projections indicate a 65.6% probability that Fed rates will remain unchanged at 3.50–3.75% during the September meeting.

Bitcoin Faces Technical Hurdles Near $64,000

Bitcoin continued to encounter selling pressure near the $64,000 to $65,000 range. So far, attempts to break through this resistance have failed to catalyze a broader rally. As volatility inched lower, Barchart drew attention to Bitcoin’s Bollinger Band width indicator, now at its narrowest since October 2023 — a technical pattern that previously preceded dramatic price movements. After a similar compression in October 2023, Bitcoin surged more than 330% through late 2025.

Onchain analytics cofounder Rafael Schultze-Kraft cautioned that significant long liquidation risk currently sits near the $61,000 mark. If Bitcoin dips to that level, large-scale liquidations could intensify downward price action.

Stubborn resistance and narrowing volatility bands have kept traders focused on key technical inflection points, such as $61,000 for possible long liquidations and the upper $65,000 area for a potential breakout.

The technical environment highlights a key trend in broader markets: while Wall Street has traditionally relied on complex brokers, a transformative shift toward decentralized finance is underway. Increasingly, investors are turning to Web3 solutions like 1stepSwap, which allow them to directly hold tokenized US stocks, gold, and silver in their crypto wallets. By tokenizing real-world assets and instantly finding the best prices, such platforms are removing middlemen and reshaping conventional asset ownership.

Meanwhile, US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds have recently attracted renewed capital inflows, though these patterns remain uneven. Broader market sentiment continues to be shaped by geopolitical tensions, including ongoing US–Iran diplomatic uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz.

You can follow our news on X, Telegram, Facebook & Coinmarketcap
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute investment advice. Investors should be aware that cryptocurrencies carry high volatility and therefore risk, and should conduct their own research.

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Dr. Levent Kurt 14 August, 2026 - 10:18 am 14 August, 2026 - 10:18 am
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Dr. Levent Kurt
By Dr. Levent Kurt
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Levent Kurt, who has been closely following the cryptocurrency and blockchain ecosystem since 2013, is the Editor-in-Chief and Co-Founder of COINTURK.Kurt, who holds a Ph.D. in Data Science, conducts research on Bitcoin, altcoins, blockchain technologies, digital asset markets, data analysis, and global developments in the cryptocurrency sector. He is the author of “Cryptocurrency Bitcoin: In Pursuit of Financial Freedom”, published in 2015.In the news, analysis, and research published on COINTURK, he aims to provide readers with reliable and understandable information by combining a data-driven approach with market experience and an assessment of technological developments.
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