The analyst, who accurately predicted previous major declines, warned about the current downturn when Bitcoin (BTC) prices were over $120,000. Consistent with the analyst’s prediction, Bitcoin has dropped to $80,000, yet the forecast suggests a further decrease. As 2025 draws to a close, the analyst advises investors to heed what many are starting to adopt as a cautious approach. This comes as a reminder amid the tumultuous state of the markets.
Advice from the Analyst Who Predicted the Drop
As the year ends, the Bitcoin price hovers below $88,000. The U.S. markets, on the verge of an early closure, show no significant developments for the rest of the week. Since mid-December, the global markets have been in a relaxed holiday mode which is expected to continue until the end of the week.
The crypto markets remain dull, lacking in volume and skewing negative, pushing altcoins to deeper lows. Roman Trading, the pseudonymous analyst who forecasted the last drop and now anticipates a bottom at $56,000, suggests a break from markets might be prudent. Amidst ongoing liquidations, this might be the most sensible advice to follow.
“BTC, for the past one and a half weeks, has done nothing but liquidate investors. A typical holiday price movement. Sometimes, stepping back for a while is truly better.”
In his warning dated December 22, the analyst predicted dull days ahead for BTC and U.S. stocks, advising, “everyone is going on holiday, you should enjoy it too.”
Bitcoin (BTC)
So, what should we focus on? CryptoQuant analyst JA_Maartun emphasizes the importance of the average cost area for BTC ETF buyers as a critical breakpoint. What’s the price point? Precisely $86,500. If crossed as the new year approaches, panic selling could ensue by next week. Conversely, convincing closures above $90,000 are necessary for a rebound.
The end of the fourth quarter in 2025 will be a memorable period, akin to the crash days of 2022. Bitcoin hasn’t faced such a poor last quarter since 2018.
Back then, BTC declined by 42.16%. This year’s losses are currently at 22.5%. Even in 2022, BTC ended the month with a 14.75% loss. Unsurprisingly, the largest drop, 56%, occurred in the second quarter. Historically, BTC closed the first and last quarters in red for three years.
