Bitcoin 
$67,439 did not experience the anticipated November, and altcoins followed a similar pattern. Following multiple developments that dampened risk appetite, BTC reached a low in November not seen for months and fell considerably below its historical earnings average. This analysis looks at what could happen by year’s end, with insights from 10x Research.
2025 End Predictions for Cryptocurrencies
Historically, the year’s last quarter is usually the strongest period for BTC, as evidenced by the new all-time high in October that elevated hopes. While U.S. stocks typically experience seasonal growth between Thanksgiving and Christmas, the same period has always been volatile for Bitcoin. 10x Research goes beyond simple seasonality, offering a framework to differentiate statistical chance from real market advantage.
“Every year of extraordinary performance in the last quarter has been driven by clear catalysts. Seasonality alone might justify a bullish stance, but as noted in September 2025, we couldn’t identify a catalyst strong enough to support such a view. This contrasts with October 2022, a time of bullish sentiment and non-consensus attitudes, and late September 2023, when many believed Bitcoin was merely in a consolidation phase. By mid-October 2024, market sentiment had returned to a generally bullish stance.”
This year could have turned into a favorable last quarter with the resumption of interest rate cuts. However, the Federal Reserve members’ hesitance to cut rates until the meeting day distanced the relaxation environment’s real results from risk markets. Beyond this, debates in the field of artificial intelligence continue to negatively impact cryptocurrencies, making it tough to find a catalyst to boost momentum. Without increasing momentum, we are observing sideways and downward movements.
Will Cryptocurrencies Drop?
The impact of developments on the macro front can be inferred by observing ETF investors. For the first time since its launch, investors have consistently exited, and at some point, this needs to reverse back to multi-billion dollar purchases. Although long-term investors’ sales since October have somewhat weakened, buyers have not returned strongly to the market.
With over 100 altcoin ETF approvals, new cryptocurrency investment services starting next year, and banks beginning to strengthen their assets in this field, 2026 promises much. However, late 2025 seems like a transitional period. With a clearer sense of Quantitative Easing and increasing belief that interest rates will approach the neutral zone, the new year could host significant rallies. This would also render Bitcoin’s decline story, fed by its four-year cycle, irrelevant.
