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The price of Bitcoin 
$107,646 experienced significant selling pressure, falling to around $58,900 as the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data came in higher than expected. By the time this report was completed, Bitcoin had rebounded to around $60,600; however, prominent trader Peter Brandt predicts a 75% correction possibility. Investors remain hopeful regarding a $283 billion support package expected from China this weekend.
75% Correction Prediction for Bitcoin Price
Peter Brandt reminded the Bitcoin community of an important historical trend. In a post on X platform, Brandt emphasized the concept of “market analogs,” noting that it has been 30 weeks since Bitcoin reached its all-time high (ATH).
According to Brandt, when the BTC price fails to create a definitive new ATH during this period, previous instances have shown significant declines of over 75%. Therefore, if this historical pattern repeats, a similar decrease is likely.
“It always entertains me how people confuse market observation with market opinion. Drivers who cannot think both ways eventually crash.” – Peter Brandt
Some Bitcoin enthusiasts expressed concern over Brandt’s 2023 prediction proving incorrect. Brandt responded by highlighting the distinction between market observation and market opinion.
Will China’s $283 Billion Support Help?
According to a recent report by Bloomberg, China is preparing a new $283 billion support package this weekend to boost its economy and consumer confidence. Analysts anticipate that the Chinese Finance Minister will announce this support during a press conference on Saturday. Chinese stocks have rapidly lost momentum following a strong rally after the holiday week, leading to increased expectations for fiscal support.
Pushan Dutt, an Economics Professor at INSEAD, stated that the focus of the support will determine the government’s economic direction:
“The multi-year nature of the support package and its targeting towards households is more important than the size of the package.”
While there was a rise in Chinese stock markets in October, Bitcoin’s price did not meet expectations. It appears that the support measures are diverting liquidity from the crypto market to the Chinese market. Therefore, the upcoming Chinese support package may not yield overly positive outcomes for Bitcoin and altcoins.
Conclusion
The uncertainties in the Bitcoin market and Peter Brandt’s warnings have caused investors to adopt a cautious approach. The impact of China’s substantial support package on the market remains a subject of interest. Investors are closely monitoring developments to shape their strategies.
