Bitcoin 
$78,340 price increased by 2.5% in the last 24 hours, trading around $115,700. Despite this rise, Bitcoin remains approximately 7% below its peak value. Ethereum 
$2,475 and some other digital assets have recently reached new records. Current indicators and technical signals suggest that the Bitcoin market might be gearing up for a movement similar to previous rallies.
Whale Selling Pressure Diminishes
Recently, major investors, known as whales, have been shifting their capital to different assets, thereby increasing the activity of individual investors in the market. Thus, changes in whale selling rates have been closely monitored. The Whale Ratio measures the proportion of the top 10 transfers to exchanges against all transfers and is seen as a signal of diminishing whale impact in the market.
This indicator declined from 0.54 on August 19 to 0.43 on August 22, marking the lowest rate in approximately two weeks. Previously, on August 10, when the indicator dropped to 0.42, Bitcoin’s price saw a significant increase from $119,305 to $124,000. Analysts believe this kind of recurrence could lead to a similar price increase.
CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju stated, “Whale selling pressure has been weakening for a while, which bears positive signals for price action.”
If past patterns repeat, new increases above the current level of Bitcoin prices are anticipated.
HODL Waves Shows Accumulation Signals
With the reduction in whale sales, attention has turned to the movements of Bitcoin’s medium and long-term investors. The HODL Waves metric tracks the accumulation in markets by monitoring Bitcoin amounts across different age groups.
Over the last month, increases have been observed in certain groups’ Bitcoin rates. The rate in 1-2 year wallets rose from 10.31% to 10.57%, and in 3-6 month wallets from 6.40% to 7.19%. Additionally, the rate in 1-3 month wallets increased from 6.99% to 8.93%. Experts suggest this accumulation trend indicates sustained bullish expectations in the market.
A Glassnode Analyst commented, “The accumulation of long-term holders is accelerating. This could indicate increased market confidence.”
Price Break and Critical Levels
Technical indicators are complementing current market conditions. Bitcoin has found strong support at the $115,400 level, with $117,600 emerging as a critical resistance level. The $119,700 level is indicated as a foundational point for initiating a new price jump.
Conversely, if the price drops to $114,100, particularly below the $111,900 level, a short-term decline trend could strengthen. Should the whale indicator’s past movements repeat, Bitcoin might gain around 4% in value, potentially surpassing the $119,000 mark.
TradingView technical analyst noted, “A break above $119,700 could push the price to new records; however, potential declines should keep support levels in focus.”
Analysts suggest this process might pave the way for Bitcoin to test new historical peaks. Thus, it is shared that the current observed price movement is merely a delay, and the upward trend, although postponed, has not been entirely dismissed.
