A post making the rounds again on social media has thrust an anonymous Bitcoin price forecast—one that allegedly predicted several milestone price levels between 2019 and 2024—back into the spotlight. In the viral image, the final target is set at 145 thousand dollars for October 2026. However, there remain significant questions regarding the accuracy and provenance of the image and its underlying data.
Source of the forecast remains untraceable
The screenshot, shared by the crypto account Corleone, is presented as an anonymous post allegedly dated December 20, 2018, on a 4chan-style forum. The image claims that a specific group controls about 90 percent of Bitcoin’s total supply and lists price targets spanning from October 2019 to October 2026.
At first glance, the predictions appear to be remarkably accurate. Bitcoin’s price reached around 67 thousand dollars in November 2021 and dipped to approximately 16 thousand dollars at the bottom of the bear market in November 2022. The speculative accuracy of these forecasts quickly drew significant attention across the crypto community.
The predictions shown in the image seem extraordinarily precise at first, but multiple issues raise doubts about accepting it as an authentic and reliable source.
The biggest challenge is the lack of any verifiable archival link, user identifier, or traceable digital fingerprint connecting the post to a real individual. As 4chan is inherently anonymous, without archived proof, there’s no way to confirm these predictions were actually made before the real-life price events occurred.
Key discrepancies between old and new versions
A Binance Square post from July 2024 resurfaced with the same “we hold about 90 percent of the total supply” claim and similar price targets. In this older version, the price target for Bitcoin in September 2024 was specified as 105,400 dollars.
By contrast, the latest viral image lists the September 2024 target at just 74 thousand dollars and adds a new projection of 145 thousand dollars for October 2026. This revision raises suspicions that the forecast or image may have been retroactively altered to better match Bitcoin’s actual price developments.
The price discrepancy between the earlier and current versions is viewed as a strong warning signal that the post may have been edited or reworked over time.
Market cap calculations fail to add up
The image also claims that these predictions would result in a 5.7 trillion dollar market capitalization for Bitcoin, with BTC dominance ranging from 40 to 47 percent. However, if Bitcoin reaches 145 thousand dollars with a circulating supply of about 20 million coins, the total market value only comes to roughly 2.9 trillion dollars. Even using the maximum total supply of 21 million BTC, the figure rises just to about 3.05 trillion dollars.
Therefore, whether the 5.7 trillion dollar figure refers to Bitcoin alone or the broader crypto market is unclear, and either way, the math does not support the claim—further undermining the post’s credibility.
Claim of 90 percent supply control at odds with blockchain data
Another prominent assertion in the post is that a select group holds nearly 90 percent of all Bitcoin. With about 20.04 million BTC circulating and a capped supply of 21 million, this claim would mean roughly 18 million coins concentrated in just a few hands.
However, Bitinfocharts data indicates the top 100 Bitcoin addresses control only around 15.27 percent of total supply, and the top 10,000 addresses hold about 53.89 percent. Bitinfocharts tracks blockchain data focusing on address distribution and wealth rankings, offering a more transparent picture of actual holdings.
This contrast with on-chain data highlights that the 90 percent concentration claim in the viral image is unsupported by empirical evidence. As a result, the idea that an anonymous 4chan user accurately predicted major Bitcoin price moves up to 2026 remains unsubstantiated at this stage.
